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Ethereum to $4K? – THESE ETH metrics hold the answer!

Ethereum Faces Whale Tug-of-War Amidst Market Consolidation

Bulls and bears clash as ETH price navigates a critical juncture after breaking key resistance.

Ethereum’s recent surge past $2,850 has ignited a battle between bullish accumulation and bearish shorting, creating uncertainty despite significant exchange outflows. The tug-of-war highlights the complexities in predicting ETH’s next move.

Whale Activity Sends Mixed Signals

On-chain data reveals conflicting strategies among large players. **Lookonchain** reported that **Sharplink** (SBET) recently made a substantial purchase of 21,487 ETH, valued at $64.26 million, acquired through OTC and Coinbase Prime.

This purchase occurred shortly after the firm received 10,000 ETH worth $25 million from the Ethereum Foundation, signaling strong confidence in ETH’s long-term potential.

However, not all major players share this optimism. Simultaneously, three wallets opened heavily leveraged short positions, betting against ETH with 15x–25x leverage. These shorts totaled 48,458 ETH, worth $143.37 million, secured with just $10.5 million in USDC margin. As of July 12, 2025, the total value locked in DeFi protocols stands at $105 billion, reflecting overall market confidence (DeFiLlama).

Exchange Outflows Indicate Bullish Sentiment

Data from CoinGlass indicates a substantial outflow of over $206 million in Ethereum from exchanges on July 11. Such outflows typically suggest accumulation by long-term holders and reduced sell-side pressure, which can be a bullish signal.

Source: CoinGlass

Despite these outflows, daily trading volume has decreased by 35% in the last 24 hours, adding complexity to the immediate price outlook.

Technical Analysis Points to Potential Rally

Ethereum broke through the key resistance level of $2,850, displaying bullish momentum. However, the asset appears to be undergoing price consolidation due to recent gains exceeding 20% over the past three days.

Ethereum to K? – THESE ETH metrics hold the answer!
Source: TradingView

Currently, ETH is trading above the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), confirming its uptrend. A sustained position above the former resistance could trigger a 37% rally toward the $4,000 mark.

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