Daniil Medvedev, ranked 11th globally, is heavily favored to defeat Juncheng Shang, currently 262nd, in the Round of 32 of the Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships on Tuesday, February 24th. The match is scheduled to take place on Centre Court, according to Tennis Tonic.
BetMGM Sportsbook lists Medvedev as a -450 favorite, implying an 81.8% probability of victory, even as Shang is a +310 underdog. Medvedev’s odds to win the entire tournament are set at +550, significantly higher than Shang’s +4000, reflecting the disparity in their rankings and perceived chances of success.
Over the past year on hard courts, Medvedev has compiled a 34-15 record, securing two tournament titles. He boasts an 80.2% win rate on his service games and converts 37.6% of his break points – the third-highest rate on tour. However, his recent performance at the ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament saw him defeated by Ugo Humbert in the Round of 32 on February 9th, 6-7, 6-3, 3-6.
Shang, seeking his first hard-court tournament win of 2026, holds a 6-9 record on the surface over the last 12 months. He maintains a strong 79.2% success rate on his own service games but struggles on returns, winning only 20.8% of those points. His break point conversion rate of 39.3% ranks 121st on the hard court circuit. Shang recently faced Medvedev in the Round of 32 of the Qatar ExxonMobil Open on February 16th, losing 4-6, 2-6.
The match will be played on a hard court surface, and fans can watch the action on the Tennis Channel.
