San Diego State Favored to cover Against San Jose State in Saturday Night Matchup
LAS VEGAS – San Diego State is a 12.5-point favorite against San Jose State as the Aztecs look to continue their extraordinary defensive form and capitalize on the Spartans’ reliance on the passing game, according to odds from DraftKings. The game is scheduled for Saturday night.
The contrasting trajectories of these two Mountain West teams are notable. San Jose State, after showing promise in 2024, has underperformed expectations this season. Conversely,San Diego State has made significant strides,largely due to a standout defense. The Aztecs currently rank fifth nationally in points allowed per game (13.9), ninth in yards allowed per contest (282.1), and sixth in yards per play (4.2). SP+ ratings further support their defensive prowess, ranking them 20th in the country after adjusting for opponent strength.
San Jose State’s offence is heavily pass-dependent, throwing the ball more frequently than all but one team in FBS – Middle Tennessee State.This approach is expected to play directly into San diego State’s strengths. The Aztecs allow the fifth-fewest yards per pass (5.6) in FBS and hold opponents to a 54.5 percent completion rate, seventh-best in the nation.
While San Diego State’s offense isn’t explosive, it’s anticipated to have enough opportunities against San Jose State’s defense to secure a pleasant victory.
The Play: San Diego State -12.5 (-110, DraftKings)
Michael Leboff, a sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry, recommends the bet, leveraging his expertise in game theory and market analysis.
