TCU favored to upset Arizona State in Big 12 Clash
TEMPE, AZ – TCU is positioned as the team to beat when they face Arizona State Friday night, according to updated odds, despite playing on the road.The Horned Frogs’ high-powered offense, led by quarterback Josh Hoover, has surged into the new season, making them a compelling pick against a Sun Devils team that hasn’t yet found its stride.
This Big 12 showdown features a compelling quarterback matchup,but the contrast in recent performance and defensive vulnerabilities suggests TCU holds the advantage. While Arizona State’s Sam Leavitt enjoyed a breakout season in 2024, leading the Sun Devils to a College Football Playoff berth, his play has been less consistent through the first four games of 2025. TCU, meanwhile, appears to be returning to form, fueled by Hoover’s impressive statistics.
Hoover has already amassed 1,000 passing yards and 11 touchdowns this season, lighting up opponents UNC, abilene Christian, and SMU. His performance has placed him sixth in the Heisman Trophy odds at BetMGM, currently listed at 15/1. Arizona State’s offense possesses the potential for explosive plays, but their pass defense has been susceptible, perhaps creating a challenging matchup against Hoover and the Horned Frogs’ aerial attack.
According to FanDuel, TCU is currently a +126 moneyline favorite.Analysts suggest this presents value, believing the team is undervalued given their offensive firepower and Arizona State’s defensive challenges.
The play: TCU (+126, FanDuel)
Michael Leboff, a sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry, recommends utilizing game theory to identify advantageous bets. He specializes in bracket pools, long shots, and beating the market in both mainstream and niche sports.
