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Estonia Tax Hike Dispute: Coalition Divided Over Income Tax Increase

Estonian Income Tax Hike Faces Opposition, Sparks Pre-Election Debate

Prime Minister Kristen Michal‘s proposal to halt the planned income tax increase in Estonia is meeting resistance from within the governing coalition and skepticism from opposition parties.The current plan calls for a rise from 22% to 24% starting January, but Michal suggested a potential cancellation if tax revenues surpass expectations.

Coalition Disagreement

Eesti 200, a junior coalition partner, voiced opposition through Minister of Education and Research Kristina Kallas.She stated support would only be considered if the budget deficit demonstrably shrinks, emphasizing the need for investments in key areas like education, infrastructure, and research to boost economic competitiveness.

Opposition Criticism

Opposition parties largely view the proposal as pre-election maneuvering. Lauri Läänemets, chair of the Social Democratic Party (SDE), warned that scrapping the hike would exacerbate the budget deficit and disproportionately burden lower-income citizens with defense costs. Isamaa chair Urmas Reinsalu called for a broader review of tax policies, including reversing a recent VAT increase, and advocated for administrative cost reductions.

Center Party Skepticism

Mihhail Kõlvart,chair of the Center Party,expressed doubt about the timing of the suggestion,linking it to the Reform Party’s internal political challenges ahead of local elections. He suggested a final decision would likely be postponed until after the elections.

Financial Implications

The ministry of Finance estimates that canceling the income tax hike would cost between €250 million and €290 million over the next four years, substantially increasing the state budget deficit.

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