Miyares‘ Reelection Odds Surge to 74% Ahead of Virginia Attorney General Election
Richmond,VA – november 3,2023 – Incumbent Jason Miyares is heavily favored to win reelection as VirginiaS Attorney General,with his odds reaching a high of 74% on Polymarket as of 6:13 p.m. Friday, compared to challenger Jay Jones‘ 25%. This marks Miyares’ strongest showing on the prediction market since tracking began for the race.
The shift in momentum comes as Virginia heads towards its November 4th election, with early voting already underway since early October. Polymarket data shows Miyares previously hit 71% on Thursday afternoon around 3:30 p.m.Jones last led in the Polymarket predictions on October 8th, with 55% to miyares’ 46%.
The rising odds for Miyares coincide with a downturn in support for Jones following the surfacing of private messages from 2022. These texts reportedly contained discussions of hypothetical violence against then-Republican House Speaker Todd Gilbert, and also derogatory remarks about Gilbert’s family.
the controversy has drawn sharp criticism from Republicans. Virginia Governor Glenn Youngkin recently posted on X (formerly Twitter): “In the wake of Charlie Kirk’s horrific assassination attempt, it’s incredibly disturbing that no Virginia Democrat has called on their statewide candidate Jay Jones to step away after he called for the murder of the Republican House Speaker, his children, and a few cops. The left always says violence has no place in our politics,unless it’s politically inconvenient and then it has a place in their party. They’ve made that clear in their continued support of Jay Jones.”
Republican strategist Brad Todd also commented on X, stating: “Virginia Democrat Party staff knows that even partisan Dem voters are disgusted by Jay Jones. That’s why their GOTV literature at the doors says ‘vote your entire ballot.’ they’re worried.”
Both candidates have been actively campaigning in the final days leading up to the election. Jones posted on X Friday: “We’re in the final days of the election, and the stakes couldn’t be higher. Let’s show up, get out the vote, and shape our future together.” Miyares, earlier this month, stated on X: ”Virginians are good and decent people, and they expect their leaders to carry themselves with civility, decorum, and integrity. That’s why I’m asking you to rehire me to serve as your Attorney General for four more years.”
The outcome of the attorney General election is expected to have a importent impact on Virginia’s legal and political landscape for years to come, perhaps influencing national conversations surrounding political speech, accountability for public officials, and the limits of acceptable campaign rhetoric.
