Norway Central Bank Holds Steady on Interest Rates? august Inflation Data Key
Published: October 26, 2023 | Updated: October 26, 2023
Oslo, Norway – Norway’s central bank, Norges Bank, is signaling a potential pause in planned interest rate cuts as recent inflation data indicates persistent price pressures. Key economic reports due this week – Wednesday’s updated price growth figures and Thursday’s regional network report - will be crucial in determining the bank’s next move.
The upcoming reports will serve as a critical “temperature measurement” of the norwegian economy and its future prospects. If both reports demonstrate stronger-than-expected price growth, Norges Bank may delay easing its monetary policy.
Harald Magnus Andreassen,chief economist at SpareBank 1 Markets,commented on the situation,stating,”I would not be surprised or criticized if they did not cut. But I am also not surprised if they cut.” Source: E24
Tore Grobæk Vamraak, chief economist at Sparebanken Norway, highlighted the sustained price increases over the past six months. “I think Norway’s bank wants to see that it is indeed structurally on the way down,before they want to cut interest rates,” he explained.
Currently, price growth in Norway remains above Norges Bank’s target of two percent core inflation, alongside low unemployment. In July, core inflation registered at 3.1 percent. Economic forecasts for August vary, predicting inflation to remain at or near 3.1 percent, or potentially decrease to 2.8 percent.
Looking Ahead
The central bank is closely monitoring whether the recent price increases are a temporary fluctuation or a sign of more entrenched inflation. A sustained downward trend in price growth will likely be a prerequisite for any future interest rate reductions.