The fact that the number of infections rose less sharply before March 16 is no proof of the ineffectiveness of the initial restrictions. It can be explained with a simple fact.
In the debate about the necessity or the usefulness of the drastic quarantine and isolation measures introduced in mid-March, critics of the regulations repeatedly put forward the argument that the increase in the number of infections had slowed down in the days before. Which in turn could possibly be an indication that the corona virus is something of a seasonal epidemic and that the spread could have been controlled without such extensive countermeasures.
In fact, Austria’s (provisional) triumphal march against the virus began as early as the week before March 16, i.e. before the entry restrictions, strict rules of conduct and assembly bans came into effect, the effects of which are visible around a week or two later due to the incubation period of Covid-19 should be.
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