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The scenario of nuclear use in Ukraine .. How will the world be affected?

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A newspaper article says so "Times" British, the options before the Russian president Vladimir Putin After the last Ukrainian counterattack, he either accepted a humiliating defeat or redoubled his quest for military victory.

The paper noted that with limited Russian reserve units, the conflict could see its use nuclear weapon.

The US president had issued a clear warning to his Russian counterpart on Saturday when asked if President Vladimir Putin would resort to nuclear weapons, saying:" do not do not do". Biden warned Moscow that the United States would respond with the same force as Russia’s actions.

The US president’s speech came in response to a question about Putin’s use of chemical or other tactical nuclear weapons.

Biden reported "It will change the face of the unprecedented war since World War II". .added "They (the Russians) will become more pariahs in the world than ever".

It was newspaper "The New York Times" He cited US officials who said Russian President Vladimir Putin could use tactical nuclear weapons, perhaps in a demonstration blast over the Black Sea, the Arctic Ocean, or inside Ukraine.

The newspaper quoted a senior intelligence official as saying there is an ongoing debate within US intelligence agencies as to whether Putin believes such a move (the use of nuclear weapons) would risk isolating his country from the countries it does. need it most – especially China -, or if it keeps this option as a backup.

How can Russia use nuclear weapons?

– According to the Times, Putin cannot, even with his presidential powers, order a nuclear attack on his own.

– It is believed that there are 3 of them nuclear exchanges module "Triple locking system"It takes about 20 minutes to activate.

– Putin has one with a code system and no nuclear key, and once it’s turned on, the code is sent to Russian Defense Minister.

The two symbols are sent to the Chief of the General Staff (current General Valery Gerasimov), who in turn can carry out orders when the three groups of symbols are combined.

How will neighboring countries be affected if Moscow uses a nuclear weapon?

American security and strategic affairs expert Irina Zuckerman said "Sky News Arabia": "In the highly unlikely scenario of a nuclear weapon used by Russia, the level of impact will depend on whether Tactical nuclear weapon Or a life-size bomb".

  • In either of the two previous scenarios, it would have taken at least 10 people to actually deploy the weapon and sabotage any part of that process would prevent the order from being executed, Zuckerman said.
  • Zuckerman: "A tactical weapon will have a shorter range than a full-size weapon, but will likely obliterate anything nearby and affect agriculture The water supply used in Eastern Europe".
  • The supplies that will actually be affected depend on the location, size and extent of use of the firearm.
  • A full-size weapon will have a similar effect to used bombs Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
  • likely to be affected Turkey If the shot is made close to Odessa It is the closest point to the strait BosphorusCentral and Eastern Europe will also likely be affected by this frightening event occurring near the border with Poland Vroomania

How will the Arab world be affected?

– will be hit Middle East According to Zuckerman, only indirectly, due to rising prices, shortages of grain and other materials, and the impact on water and fish supplies across the Black Sea.

– According to Zuckerman, an accidental attack on a nuclear power plant is much more likely than a nuclear attack, because it is more difficult to eliminate the planes or other objects surrounding the plane than it is to interfere with it.

Commenting on the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons, Maher Aziz, an energy and environment consultant and member of the World Energy Council, told the website "Sky News Arabia": "When Putin senses a moment of imminent danger, he will have to decide the matter in Russia’s favor, and then he will be forced to use nuclear weapons, making sure that radiation risk Issued by it is limited, and the area of ​​its damage does not exceed several kilometers".

If a nuclear weapon is used with full effect, the effects will be wide across the globe and affect Russia itself, according to Aziz, who confirmed that Arabic word At that time, it will seek alternatives to resources imported from Russia or Ukraine, and food prices will see a further rise and the world will turn to alternatives to the wheat and grains exported by these two countries.

In turn, political analyst Andrew Boyfield said "Sky News Arabia" Any move to equip and post Russian nuclear weapons It will be monitored by the satellites of America and the NATO countries.

The dilemma of preventive intervention

According to Boyfield, it "Depending on the intelligence and in light of the failure of all diplomatic attempts to persuade Russia to reverse its behavior, NATO countries may decide to intervene to prevent the release of these weapons by various means.".

The political analyst concluded his speech by saying: "There are huge risks associated with this decision as any attack could precipitate a much worse offensive by Russia and could be classified as a NATO aggression rather than a preemptive defense.".

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A report from the British newspaper “The Times” claims that the options are up to the Russian president Vladimir Putin After the last Ukrainian counterattack, he either accepted a humiliating defeat or redoubled his quest for military victory.

The paper noted that with limited Russian reserve units, the conflict could see its use nuclear weapon.

On Saturday, the US president issued a clear warning to his Russian counterpart when asked if President Vladimir Putin would resort to nuclear weapons, saying, “Don’t do, don’t do, don’t do.” Biden warned Moscow that the United States would respond with the same force as Russia’s actions.

The US president’s speech came in response to a question about Putin’s use of chemical or other tactical nuclear weapons.

“It will change the face of unprecedented warfare since World War II,” Biden said. “They (the Russians) will become more pariahs in the world than ever,” she added.

The New York Times quoted US officials as saying Russian President Vladimir Putin could use tactical nuclear weapons, perhaps in a bombing show on the Black Sea, the Arctic Ocean, or within Ukrainian territory.

The newspaper quoted a senior intelligence official as saying there is an ongoing debate within US intelligence agencies as to whether Putin believes such a move (the use of nuclear weapons) would risk isolating his country from the countries it does. need it most – especially China -, or if it keeps this option as a backup.

How can Russia use nuclear weapons?

– According to the Times, Putin cannot, even with his presidential powers, order a nuclear attack on his own.

– It is believed that there are 3 of them nuclear exchanges It forms a “triple locking system”, which takes about 20 minutes to activate.

– Putin has one with a code system and no nuclear key, and once it’s turned on, the code is sent to Russian Defense Minister.

The two symbols are sent to the Chief of the General Staff (current General Valery Gerasimov), who in turn can carry out orders when the three groups of symbols are combined.

How will neighboring countries be affected if Moscow uses a nuclear weapon?

Irina Zuckerman, US expert on security and strategic affairs, told Sky News Arabia: “In the highly unlikely scenario of Russia’s use of a nuclear weapon, the level of impact will depend on whether or not a weapon is used. nuclear. Tactical nuclear weapon Or a life-size bomb.

  • In either of the two previous scenarios, it would have taken at least 10 people to actually deploy the weapon and sabotage any part of that process would prevent the order from being executed, Zuckerman said.
  • Zuckerman: “A tactical weapon would have a shorter range than a full-size weapon, but it would probably obliterate anything nearby and affect the agriculture The water supply used in Eastern Europe“.
  • The supplies that will actually be affected depend on the location, size and extent of use of the firearm.
  • A full-size weapon will have a similar effect to used bombs Hiroshima and Nagasaki.
  • likely to be affected Turkey If the shot is made close to Odessa It is the closest point to the strait BosphorusCentral and Eastern Europe will also likely be affected by this frightening event occurring near the border with Poland Vroomania

How will the Arab world be affected?

– will be hit Middle East According to Zuckerman, only indirectly, due to rising prices, shortages of grain and other materials, and the impact on water and fish supplies across the Black Sea.

– According to Zuckerman, an accidental attack on a nuclear power plant is much more likely than a nuclear attack, because it is more difficult to eliminate a plane or other objects surrounding the plane than it is to interfere with it.

Commenting on the possibility of Russia using nuclear weapons, Maher Aziz, an energy and environmental consultant and member of the World Energy Council, told Sky News Arabia: “When Putin senses a moment of imminent danger, the matter must be resolved in favor of the Russia, and then it will be forced to use nuclear weapons, minding what is happening radiation risk It is limited and its damage does not exceed several kilometers ”.

If a nuclear weapon is used with full effect, the effects will be wide across the globe and affect Russia itself, according to Aziz, who confirmed that Arabic word At that time, it will seek alternatives to resources imported from Russia or Ukraine, and food prices will see a further rise and the world will turn to alternatives to the wheat and grains exported by these two countries.

In turn, political analyst Andrew Boyfield told “Sky News Arabia” that any move to prepare and publish … Russian nuclear weapons It will be monitored by the satellites of America and the NATO countries.

The dilemma of preventive intervention

According to Boyfield, “On the basis of intelligence and in light of the failure of all diplomatic attempts to dissuade Russia from its behavior, NATO countries may decide to intervene to prevent the release of these weapons by various means.”

The political analyst concluded his speech by saying: “There are enormous risks associated with this decision, as any attack can precipitate a much worse attack by Russia and can be classified as a NATO aggression and not a preventive defense.”

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