Putin in the corner, any “big breakthrough” could happen in the future
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Russia’s aggressive war against Ukraine, which broke out on February 24, 2022, will soon enter its ninth month. Among the news on the inferiority of Russian President Vladimir Putin, various “end-war and ceasefire scenarios” are emerging from the media and experts. Therefore, I would like to put the spotlight on the noteworthy scenario and check it out.
Putin’s “KGB faction” overwhelms the soldiers
According to one theory, the scenario of the operation to invade Ukraine was mainly worked out by members of the former KGB (Committee for National Security), a large spy organization that was Putin’s “old house” and which was eaten “the same pot of rice”. .
Defense Minister Shoigu (Photo: Press Service of the Russian Defense Ministry / AP / Aflo)
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On the other hand, I am concerned about relations with the two leaders of the Russian army, Defense Minister Shoigu and Chief of Staff Gerasimov. In particular, Gerasimov, a trained soldier, naturally participated in strategy planning, but as the war situation gradually deteriorated, Putin’s “KGB faction” overwhelmed the soldiers and drafted increasingly unreasonable plans. There is also an analysis that is stuck in a vicious cycle of struggling with
Chief of Staff Gerasimov (Photo: Press Service of the Russian Defense Ministry / AP / Aflo)
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The members of the KGB faction, the so-called “Putin Friends Club”, are the following:
Patrushev, secretary of the Federal Security Council / Synchronized with Putin in the KGB
Patrushev, secretary of the Federal Security Council (Photo: Reuters / Aflo)
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● Bortnikov Director FSB (Federal Security Service = successor to the KGB) / same period
Head of Federal Security Services Bortnikov (Photo: Reuters / Aflo)
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Naryshkin SVR (Foreign Intelligence Agency = successor of the former KGB Foreign Intelligence Department) Director / same junior
Director General of Foreign Intelligence Naryshkin (Photo: Reuters / Aflo)
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– Commander-in-Chief of the Zolotov National Guard (responsible for internal security in the former domestic army, revolt suppression and civil war suppression unit) / former Putin’s bodyguard around the same time
Commander-in-Chief of the National Guard Zolotov (right) (Photo: Reuters / Aflo)
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The members of the KGB faction have no experience as professional soldiers, so to speak they are amateurs in planning military operations. Rather, 18 (ohako) is a kind of conspiracy, deception and conspiracy tricks prepared by the former KGB, and many people point out that their strategy is “desktop theory”.
Gerasimov, on the other hand, is a tough military man who is proud of his past in the tank unit and is highly respected within the military. By the way, in Russia, tank crews are considered heroes who defended their homeland from the invasion of Nazi Germany during the Great Patriotic War (German-Soviet war during World War II).
Furthermore, Gerasimov supported the “Gerasimov Doctrine”, which supported hybrid warfare (waging war by intertwining military and non-military elements such as economy and culture) and demonstrated his power during the unilateral annexation of the Crimean peninsula. in 2014. This is also said
There is no difference between Putin’s “yes man”, but proud soldier Gerasimov’s clumsy war plan, half-“child” tanks and his subordinates are silently watching the spectacle of unnecessary deaths by the army. Ukrainian and Western-made weapons. It is difficult to imagine that there is. Furthermore, his nephew, Major General Gerasimov, who served in the war of aggression, was killed during the war, and Putin forced him to take responsibility for the deterioration of the war situation, and I have heard that he is now forced to a sloppy position.
