Unemployment insurance

The disruption won’t change the course of the necessities: Gabriel Attal confirmed this Thursday, June 13 on France Inter that he needs to proceed his reform of unemployment insurance coverage. Whereas Emmanuel Macron declared himself open “on the phrases” the day earlier than, throughout his press conventionThe Prime Minister assured that there was order “It will likely be taken earlier than July 1 for this reform”.

Regardless of the early legislative elections on June 30 and July 7, the federal government doesn’t surrender on its venture. This offers particularly for decreasing the compensation interval from eighteen to fifteen months for unemployed individuals underneath 57 years of age and to work out the phrases of opening rights to eight months out of the final twenty, in comparison with six out of twenty-four immediately.

Make a counter communication

Sufficient to upset the unions, who had hoped to see the venture postponed till the following elections. “The president says he’s accountable for the individuals with the dissolution of the Nationwide Meeting however maintains his reform by order. “to disclaim Sophie Binetthe final secretary of the CGT, after the president’s press convention.

“These measures goal to realize unprecedented financial savings by merely slicing again on help for the unemployedfor her half was Marylise Léon, the Cedetist director. They arrive particularly after a variety of orders lately whose affect we can’t but measure. »

All union leaders are important of the frenzy of numbers to help the reform. Collectively, they’re now attempting to struggle the venture on its deserves. For the president of the CFE-CGC, François Hommeril, since he’s “troublesome to maneuver on unemployment points, we have to select a protection technique by means of info”.

Financial savings above all

Earlier than the Nationwide Meeting was dissolved by the President of the Republic, the 5 consultant unions (CFDT, CGT, FO, CFE-CGC, CFTC) deliberate to satisfy on June 11 on the Financial, Social and Environmental Council (Cese) . to listen to the scenario, and oppose “authorities arguments about authority”.

First, the concept that robust laws would assist cut back unemployment. A degree on which all of the researchers current that day have been unanimous: “No examine proves that limiting entry to unemployment insurance coverage results in a rise in employment,” mentioned Claire Vivès, sociologist on the Heart for Employment and Labor Research, mentioning the dearth of research on earlier reforms.

“Lower than one in two unemployed individuals obtain compensation immediately, however the hyperlink between compensation and issue discovering work is by no means apparent.”confirmed Bruno Coquet, economist at OFCE, and labor market skilled.

Within the opinion of nearly all of economists current, the federal government is extra fascinated by making financial savings than in acquiring full employment. Based on Unédic, they might reaching 5.4 billion euros per yr by the top of the last decade. Extra, due to this fact, than the aim of three.6 billion euros that the chief put ahead in Might.

The danger of inconsistency

For the economist Michael Zemmour, a member of the Excessive Council of Public Finance, the primary results of this new reform is the vulnerability of individuals whose compensation ends. “Every month, 250,000 individuals fall exterior the scope of unemployment insurance coveragehe calculated. Younger individuals, the aged and ladies are most affected. »

Family consumption might be a collateral sufferer. “Unemployment insurance coverage performs an vital function within the stability of the extent of consumption in France”certainly harking back to Bruno Coquet.

The query of labor {qualifications}, a lot put ahead by the unions, additionally acquired help from the consultants. “The hazard with too low compensation is that it pushes the unemployed into jobs that aren’t appropriate for them, Bruno Coquet of cost. This represents an enormous lack of human capital. » The economist believes that the time it takes to adapt to the scenario or the dearth of related information are all obstacles to growing human capital.

Claire Vivès goes even additional. Based on her, tightening the foundations is a part of a method to make unemployed individuals really feel responsible. “The aim is to delegate their calls for by way of hourly charge, wage, {qualifications}…” A degree that introduced collectively all of the union leaders and was summed up by Cyril Chabanier, the president of the CFTC: “Not all the pieces is best than unemployment. »