, January 4, 2020
The absence of a Christmas truce in the pension reform conflict has left its mark. After the end of year celebrations, only 25% of the French people give their “support” to the social movement, a figure down by 6 points compared to our previous poll of December 19-20. They are 19% to express their “sympathy” (-1 point) when the number of people declaring themselves “hostile” to the strikers jumped by 4 points, to 19%. “It’s a turning point” in the conflict, said Frédéric Dabi, deputy director general of Ifop.
“A doubt has settled” among the opponents of the reform
Until then, public opinion on the movement had indeed changed little in recent weeks. For the first time since the outbreak of the conflict on December 5, support and sympathy for the strikers became a minority, at 44%. The proportion of French people who want the government to go through with its reform remains in the minority, at 45%, but it has increased by 4 points. Above all, the French are more and more numerous – 75% against 69% on December 19-20 – to have acquired the conviction that Emmanuel Macron would not yield.
For Frédéric Dabi, “there is clearly an effect of vows of Emmanuel Macron on December 31 : he hit the nail on the head and said he would not withdraw the project “. This prognosis is shared even by the most resolute opponents of the reform: 63% of supporters of La France insoumise think that the government will go as far as end, without yielding to mobilizations and strikes, and 72% of those of the National Rally. “A doubt has settled in the segments most unfavorable to the reform and most favorable to the social movement”, underlines Frédéric Dabi.