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Source: WORLD infographic / Beate Nowak
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How important is “Super Tuesday”?
Very important. On this day, the votes of 1344 delegates will be given to the Democrats – without the Democrats abroad, whose voting will take longer. To be nominated as a presidential candidate at the Democratic convention in July in Milwaukee (Wisconsin), an applicant needs 3,979 regular delegates in 1991.
So “Super Tuesday” is about the votes of more than a third of the party delegates. There are 415 delegates in California alone and 228 in Texas. In the four previous primaries (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina), a total of 155 delegate votes had already been distributed. Altogether, almost 40 percent of the delegate votes are given after the “Super Tuesdays”.
Can it be clear who will become the Democratic presidential candidate?
No. The delegate votes that will be distributed on this day are a huge chunk, but they are not the majority – apart from the fact that not a single candidate will collect all the votes to be awarded. On “Super Tuesday”, no applicant will be able to finally decide on the nomination for themselves.
However, coordination is an extremely important milestone. One of the applicants could clearly stand out from the rest and make his nomination much more likely. In addition, when voting in a large number of countries with a very diverse population, democratic candidates have the opportunity to show whether they can appeal to a broad electorate. In California or Texas, for example, there are a large number of Latinos with voting rights.
Who has the best prospects?
Five Democrats are currently in the running. Left Senator Bernie Sanders is ahead of former Vice President Joe Biden after the previous four primaries. Sanders leads in national polls and is also the favorite in polls in the key Super Tuesday states of California and Texas. But after the recent area code in South Carolina, a lot has changed. Several contenders subsequently gave up – including ex-Indiana mayor Pete Buttigieg and senator Amy Klobuchar, who like Biden serve the party’s moderate wing. Both expressed their support to Biden on Monday evening.
Former Congressman Beto O’Rourke – who had ended his presidential bid in November – also called for Biden’s support. His recommendation has a lot of weight in the important “Super Tuesday” state of Texas: he comes from Texas and represented the state in the House of Representatives.
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