FHI presented a new risk assessment related to the coronavirus on Friday.
In the report, FHI explains, among other things, the demographics among Norwegians who have been infected between weeks 37 and 40 – from 7 September until last week.
The report reveals that the median age among reported corona cases in the last four weeks was 31 years.
The median is calculated by setting up all the cases in ascending order and then finding the midpoint. This is in contrast to the average, which gives extreme values in the overview great weight.
Foreign-born people accounted for 31 percent of those infected in these weeks, the report reveals.
The figures are based on cases of illness in the four weeks, all of which had over 700 new cases each.
There were 14 hospital admissions in week 39 and 20 admissions in week 40. In weeks 39/40, five people were admitted to intensive care units. In the weeks 39/40, there were five deaths related to covid-19, reports FHI.
The age of those infected is generally low in Norway. In many other European countries, the age is far right, writes FHI.
“Most countries in Europe are now experiencing an increasing number of diagnosed cases and an increasing proportion of positives in testing. Several countries are also seeing an increase among people over the age of 65 and thus also an increase in hospitalizations and deaths. “
According to Public Health, the situation is now worst in Spain, Romania, Malta, the Czech Republic, Croatia, France, Hungary and Bulgaria in the European countries.
Here people became infected
However, it is not the case that infections related to urban and nightlife can be specifically identified in Norway.
«The infection situation has so far been clarified for 714 of 754 who are known to be infected in Norway in week 39/40; 77% had had contact with a known case. The most common assumed sites of infection were private household (33%), workplace, university (16%), private event (11%) and travel (7%). For 18%, the presumed site of infection was unknown “, writes FHI.
Hell in Paris
FHI also paints a gloomy picture of the outbreak that has occurred in Paris this autumn.
“Paris is now experiencing a new, serious wave of the covid-19 epidemic. The city has reached the second highest level of preparedness – alert maximum – with 260 cases per 100,000 inhabitants last week, but more seriously over 100 cases per 100,000 inhabitants over the age of 65. Approximately 36% of the intensive care units in the city are occupied by patients with covid-19. More than 3,500 cases are detected daily in the city “, writes FHI.
The outbreak and the large number of hospitalizations in the French capital also show the increased need for treatment if a larger proportion of the elderly are affected.
The risk of dying from covid-19 infection is estimated in the National Institute of Public Health‘s latest risk assessment at 0.31 per cent. It is not adjusted for age.
So far, almost 90 percent of the deaths have occurred in the group over 70 years. For people over the age of 80, the disease seems to be very dangerous with lethality well over 10 percent, writes FHI.
FHI estimates the proportion of infected people who need intensive care in hospitals at 0.27 per cent.
FHI director Camilla Stoltenberg further said at Friday’s press conference that there is a lot of uncertainty associated with the number of corona mortality, but that it says something about how serious the disease is, according to NTB.
– It is three times higher than the corresponding uncertain estimate we have for the flu. And when the flu strikes, as it did in the 2017/2018 season, the number of deaths was estimated at 1400. Had we had this three times (as a result of the corona pandemic, editor’s note), we would have been desperate about it, said Stoltenberg .
In the same report, FHI states that the national infection control measures should be continued.
“The whole community must prepare to fight local outbreaks throughout the autumn. In order to avoid regional and national spread of infection, the National Institute of Public Health recommends that the current measures be mainly continued, especially to avoid mass infection incidents. “
The recommendation is valid until 1 November. According to FHI, there is a high risk of flare-ups of infection locally, and that the whole community must prepare for local outbreaks. However, FHI considers the risk of a new national wave of infections to be moderate.
According to FHI, the so-called R-number at the end of September was around 1. They therefore recommend continuing the national infection control measures.
In the report, FHI also explains where Norwegians were infected last week, in week 40.