Russia launched its latest air attack Ukraine During rush hour on Thursday morning, air raid alerts blared across the country as people went about their business.
In the capital, a subway station sheltered from the raids, and some people sat on blankets and small plastic chairs..
Observers and analysts say it is expected to be launched Russia attack on Ukraine by spring seasonAnd perhaps before that, in response to the recent strengthening of Western armaments, especially with the lull in military operations in the winter when it is difficult to conduct maneuvers.
This comes at a time when Washington and Berlin officially announced their agreement to send tanks "Abrams" American and"leopard" German to Ukraine to confront the Russian forces, in the midst of the Western rush to provide military aid.
Decisive battle
In turn, the deputy head of the Ukrainian Military Intelligence, Vadym Skipetsky, said that his country "She believes that Russia is planning a new offensive in the spring, which will be decisive for the course of the war"considering that "If the planned major Russian offensive fails, it will be Russia’s downfall".
Institute believes "Study war"that such an attack "It is likely to come from the lands Donetsk AndLuhansk"the two separatist regions loyal to Russia, which recognized their independence, in addition to Belarus.
On the other hand, the Ukrainian forces are preparing new fortifications and preparing battle plans along the front line, with the approach of spring.
A retired US Army general, Mark Hertling, predicted that the Russian war in Ukraine might "ignite" In the spring, explaining that "Spring will be a major turning point in the war".
As quoted in the magazine "Newsweek"Hertling stated that "Expectations for the spring are that they will contribute additional mobilization forces, especially since winter slows operations, and if Ukraine tries to regain territory, it must conduct joint arms operations in the southeast, and continue to confront any Russian advance in the region. Donbass".
future conflict
And with the provision of a new military aid package to Ukraine, which includes 31 tanks "Abrams" armored vehicles and ammunition; As a prelude to a counterattack that the Ukrainian army is preparing to launch against the Russian forces, Berlin announced the delivery of tanks "Leopard 2" To Kyiv by next March, in a move that observers see as "A new qualitative change for the future of the conflict".
The military and strategic expert, Brigadier General Samir Ragheb, explained in statements to MEE "Sky News Arabia"that "Ukraine has long asked the West to provide it with tanks before fighting Spring battleAnd this is a new change, because these weapons are offensive, not defensive, and as they enter the battlefield, they will make a noticeable difference in favor of the Ukrainian forces.".
Ragheb pointed out that "The West is still afraid of a direct confrontation with Russia, and the evidence for this is the slowdown in procuring the required tanks for Kiev, because Moscow’s response to this will not be traditional, but will take into account weapons of mass destruction.".
However, Moscow-based senior Russia analyst at the International Crisis Group Oleg Ignatov told MEE "Sky News Arabia"The decision to send a tank "Leopard 2" and other American aid, "It is of great importance to support Ukraine, and it is also an important signal for Russia from the Western allies".
And about the future of the war after the recent Western steps, he added "Ignatov an "Sending tanks could already affect the course of the war, amid reports that the Kremlin is preparing for a new escalation of the conflict, while Western countries show their willingness to continue supporting Kyiv to end the war on their own terms.".
He continued: "This is a signal to the Kremlin that in response to Russia’s escalation, Ukraine will also receive resources that can change the status quo on the front lines, and that Moscow will not conduct negotiations on its own terms, which is exactly what it is seeking now.".
Ignatov also considered that Ukraine "You want the tanks to launch offensive operations and penetrate the Russian defense, which has become more organized, and liberate new areas, especially since stocks of old Soviet tanks in Europe have run out.".
The analyst concluded his remarks to the site "Sky News Arabia"saying that "Perhaps the decision to send tanks to Ukraine will speed up the decision-making process for new offensive operations in the conflict".
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In the wake of the American and German emphasis on Send tanks to UkraineKyiv officials revealed that air defenses shot down most of the Russian missiles fired towards the capital, during Moscow’s latest round of air strikes..
Russia launched its latest air attack Ukraine During rush hour on Thursday morning, air raid alerts blared across the country as people went about their business.
In the capital, a subway station sheltered from the raids, and some people sat on blankets and small plastic chairs..
Observers and analysts say it is expected to be launched Russia attack on Ukraine by spring seasonAnd perhaps before that, in response to the recent strengthening of Western armaments, especially with the lull in military operations in the winter when it is difficult to conduct maneuvers.
This comes at a time when Washington and Berlin officially announced their agreement to send the American “Abrams” tanks and the German “Leopard” to Ukraine to confront the Russian forces, in the midst of the Western rush to provide military aid..
Decisive battle
In turn, the deputy head of Ukrainian Military Intelligence, Vadym Skipetsky, said that his country “believes that Russia is planning to launch a new attack in the spring, which will be decisive for the course of the war,” considering that “if the planned major Russian attack fails, it will be a fall for Russia.”“.
The Institute for the Study of War also believes that such an attack “is likely to come from the territory of Donetsk AndLuhanskThe two separatist regions loyal to Russia, which recognized their independence, in addition to Belarus.
On the other hand, the Ukrainian forces are preparing new fortifications and preparing battle plans along the front line, with the approach of spring.
Retired US Army General Mark Hertling predicted that the Russian war in Ukraine might “ignite” in the spring, explaining that “the spring will be a major turning point in the war.”.
And according to “Newsweek” magazine, Hertling explained, “The expectations for the spring are that they will contribute additional mobilization forces, especially since the winter slows down operations, and if Ukraine tries to regain territory, it must conduct joint arms operations in the southeast, and continue to counter any advance.” Russian in the area Donbass“.
future conflict
And with the provision of a new military aid package to Ukraine, which includes 31 “Abrams” tanks, armored vehicles and ammunition; In preparation for a counterattack that the Ukrainian army is preparing to launch against Russian forces, Berlin announced the delivery of “Leopard 2” tanks to Kyiv by next March, in a move that observers see as “a new qualitative change for the future of the conflict.”“.
The military and strategic expert, Brigadier General Samir Ragheb, told Sky News Arabia that “Ukraine has always demanded that the West provide it with tanks before fighting Spring battleAnd this is a new change, because these weapons are offensive, not defensive, and as they enter the battlefield, they will make a noticeable difference in favor of the Ukrainian forces..
Ragheb pointed out that “the West is still afraid of a direct confrontation with Russia, and the evidence for this is the slowdown in procuring the required tanks for Kiev, because Moscow’s response to this will not be traditional, but will take into account weapons of mass destruction.”.
However, the senior analyst for Russian affairs at the International Crisis Group, based in Moscow, Oleg Ignatov, told Sky News Arabia that the decision to send Leopard 2 tanks and the rest of the American aid, “is of great importance to support Ukraine, and it is also an important signal.” Russia’s Western allies.
On the future of the war after recent Western steps, Ignatov added that “sending tanks could actually affect the course of the war, amid reports that the Kremlin is preparing for a new escalation of the conflict, while Western countries are showing their willingness to continue supporting Kyiv to end the war on their own terms.”.
He continued, “This is a signal to the Kremlin that in response to the Russian escalation, Ukraine will also receive resources that can change the status quo on the front lines, and that Moscow will not conduct negotiations on its own terms, which is exactly what it is seeking now.”.
Ignatov also considered that Ukraine “wants tanks to launch offensive operations and penetrate the Russian defense, which has become more organized, and liberate new areas, especially since stocks of old Soviet tanks in Europe have run out.”.
The analyst concluded his remarks to “Sky News Arabia” by saying, “Perhaps the decision to send tanks to Ukraine will speed up the decision-making process for new offensive operations in the conflict.”
