Donald Trump wants to start the US economy again – preferably yesterday. The US President repeatedly gives the impression that the worst phase of the corona wave in the USA has already passed. In contrast, there are various forecasts that suggest a completely different picture.
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In the most recent paper, US scientists have now presented a new model calculation. They assume that it will be in the United States by the end of July will give nearly 150,000 corona deaths. Cobvd-19 currently causes over 82,000 deaths in the country.
The higher predicted number of victims is, among other things, due to the relaxation of the corona requirements beginning in many parts of the country, the researchers of the institute IHME of the University of Washington in Seattle said on Tuesday. The whole impact of the easing would only become clear in a few weeks because of the time between infections, tests, possible hospital stays or deaths, they warned.
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The researchers’ forecasts have received a lot of attention in the U.S. because President Trump’s government has cited them several times to explain the effects of the coronavirus pandemic. The experts last updated their model on Sunday and said that the number of victims would stabilize at around 134,000 deaths by the end of July.
Now they predict around 147,000 deaths on August 4. The model does not make any statements for the time thereafter. Just a few weeks ago, the university had assumed that a plateau would be reached in the height of summer with around 90,000 deaths.
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About every third infection worldwide is reported from the United States
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The figure of 147,000 deaths by the beginning of August represents an average of the researchers’ calculations. At least the experts assume 113,000 deaths, and a maximum of 227,000 according to the model.
According to data from Johns Hopkins University, there are 1.36 million confirmed infections with the novel coronavirus Sars-CoV-2 in the United States, a country with around 330 million inhabitants. This corresponds to approximately one in three infections worldwide.
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