“On July 25, it can be expected that I will get herd immunity,” said the mathematician Prof. Vitanov in the morning block of BNT.
“If people start getting vaccinated en masse, in fact, this immunity will be achieved a month earlier. That’s the optimistic view of the situation,” he explained.
There are only 4 of the 28 areas where it is still flickering, but it is about to stop there. The basic reproductive number yesterday was 0.77, today it is 0.82, which means that the scope of the infection is shrinking and the health system is unloading.
Our goal is to fall below 500 a day infected. Mortality is also expected to slowly fall below 100 per day, it is still high, but there are reasons for this.
The districts of Kardzhali and Lovech should be monitored with increased attention next week, and Varna, Veliko Tarnovo, Montana, Plovdiv, Ruse, Sofia district, Smolyan, Stara Zagora and Targovishte with caution, he added.
With mass vaccination we will crush all the next waves, if we manage to do it, a calm summer awaits us, the mathematician is convinced.
According to him, mortality is expected to fall slowly.
“There will be vaccines and there will be those who want to, but we can fuck with the organization. 390,000 people have already encountered the virus,” said Prof. Vitanov.
“There will be no new huge wave, as in November. There may be an increase in morbidity, but not as it was, “explains the mathematician.
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