A normally dry research report rocked the gold market this week. He signaled a large-scale purchase by the central bank. The central bank of the country or region has not yet been identified.
The central bank bought 399 tons of gold in the third quarter, according to the World Gold Council (WGC). This is almost double the previous record. Just under 25% of those purchases were made by publicly identified institutions, sparking speculation about the mysterious buyer.
Most central banks notify the International Monetary Fund (IMF) when they buy gold to supplement their foreign exchange reserves, but some prefer to keep it secret. Few buyers will be able to execute the remaining 75% of bulk purchases, but that should be enough to mitigate the blow to investors selling gold after US interest rates rise.
“Given all this selling pressure, it was somewhat surprising that gold hasn’t fallen that much,” said Ross Norman, chief executive officer of the precious metals website Metals Daily. “But now I think I know the answer,” he said.
The WGC estimates use data from the consultancy Metals Focus. Then it combines official data, trade statistics and field research to understand the demand from different sectors of the gold market.
While it is difficult to identify the gold market whale, few central banks have such purchasing power.
China
The world’s second largest economy rarely reveals how much gold its central bank is buying. The country has not reported any changes in its gold reserves since 2019, increasing speculation that China may be the hidden buyer.
Russia
Russia is the second largest gold mining country in the world. It usually produces more than 300 tons per year. Prior to February 2022, it exported gold not only to trading hubs like London and New York, but also to Asian countries.
crude oil exporter
Few countries fare better in this year’s energy crisis than Gulf oil exporters. Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Kuwait all have unplanned earnings. Some invest their cash in foreign assets through sovereign wealth funds (SWFs).
news-rsf-original-reference paywall">Original title:Mysterious whales baffle the gold market after central bank purchases(extract)