Even if this second round does not resemble any other, it will not escape the surprises, the waves, the reversals of the situation which make the salt of politics and testify to the mood of the French towards their elected officials.
We offer a tour of France of the polls to be followed in a hundred large and medium-sized cities, knowing that the citizens of 4,820 municipalities are called to the polls (39% of the electorate but 66% of the population).
The candidates will compete in triangular in 786 municipalities in quadrangular in 155 and in pentagular (5 lists) in 12 cities! Here is our selection.
1. The Prime Minister
The capital of this election will be Le Havre and not Paris. Head of the list, Prime Minister Édouard Philippe (43.6% on March 15), elected in the first round in 2014, will not be easy against the communist Jean-Paul Lecoq (35.9%) who has not however, failed to agree with the Greens who came in third with 8%. Thunderbolt?
2. Lyon, Marseille, Lille, Toulouse, Bordeaux: metropolitan shocks
The district voting system and the advance made by Mayor Anne Hidalgo in the first round make the match three in Paris (Hidalgo, Dati for LR and Buzyn for the Walkers) less interesting than those in the five largest cities in the provinces. Nothing is played In Lyon, Marseille, Lille, Toulouse, Bordeaux with five different configurations. Alliance LR-LREM against the left united in the two Lyon elections (city and metropolis) with a dissident in the middle. Left united against right divided and embarrassed by the National Rally in Marseille. Left match against environmentalists for mayor Martine Aubry (PS) in Lille, “lady of the 35 hours” also supported by … the right! In the pink city, environmentalists won the primary of the left on March 15 to challenge the outgoing mayor Jean-Luc Moudenc (LR) supported by MoDem and LREM but who lacks voice reserves. As always, access to the Capitol will be played in a handkerchief. A Bordeaux, also right and majority allied with the ecologists but the national leader of the NPA Philippe Poutou (11%), allied with the Insoumis, refused alliance and withdrawal.
In other cities, the situation looks calmer: at Saint-Etienne, Mulhouse, Limoges, Nice (LR), Nantes, Rennes, Brest, Le Mans, Dijon, Rouen, Clermont-Ferrand, Avignon (PS), Grenoble (EELV), the leavers leave with a very comfortable advance. After all, François Bayrou (MoDem) appears to be safe from the left coalition.
3. Baroque situations
We have selected six. A Montpellier, the triangular opposes the outgoing Philippe Saurel to the socialist Michel Delafosse allied with certain greens and certain communists, with in third man the liberal boss Mohed Altrad, fiftieth fortune of France associated with the extreme left and the humorist Thierry Gaillard. Incomprehensible seen from the outside.
A Strasbourg, the candidate of the outgoing team Alain Fontanel (LREM) merged with the right at the last moment what ecologists and socialists could not do. Illogical.
In the center-right bastion from Annecy, the alliance between the left and part of the LREMs threatens the mayor Jean-Luc Rigault supported by other LREMs. Indecipherable.
In the red suburbs of St Denis, a socialist for whom the right and national majority call to vote can dislodge the PCF supported by the Insoumis.
In La Rochelle, Olivier Falorni (various left), who fell for Ségolène Royal in the 2012 legislative elections, attacks the mayor, of whom he was the main supporter.
Finally, in Orleans, the mayor of the years 2001-2014 Serge Grouard (right) returned to dislodge the successor he had dubbed in 2014 since moving to LREM.
4. Des outgoing under the threat
Laurent Hénart (Radical Party) at Nancy, Alain Claeys (PS) in Poitiers, Maryse Joissains (Dvd) in Aix-en-Provence, Christophe Bouchet (UDI) in Tours, Michel Dantin (right) in Chambéry Yves Ferez (PS) in Auxerre, Didier Mouly (SE) in Narbonne, Jean-Paul Fournier (DvD) in Nîmes, Philippe Mousny (right) in Bourges, Daniel Fasquelle at Le Touquet, Antoine Audi at Perigueux : here is a non-exhaustive list of mayors very jostled in the first round. Will they have avoided the danger thanks to the campaign?
5. When the outgoing does not represent himself
The premium works much less well. In Metz, the right can take back the city after the two terms of socialist Dominique Gros. A Besancon, the game is open after the withdrawal of Jean-Louis Fousseret (LREM) with advantage to the union of the left. In Gardanne, near Marseille, the communist mayor Roger Mei in place since 1977 has withdrawn which opens up possibilities for the PS. For the first time, there will be suspense at Levallois-Perret, the stronghold of the Balkanys, the latter having disowned their protege!
6. National rally or republican front
For the second time in history after Toulon in 1995 when the experiment was cut short, the Lepéniste party can win a city of more than 100,000 inhabitants: Perpignan. The deputy Louis Aliot, figure of the party widened a gap of 16 points on March 15 on the outgoing mayor Jean-Marc Pujol (LR), winner of the first leg in 2014 thanks to a Republican front. This one was reconstituted with much less enthusiasm and suffers from some refusals. Especially the gap to be filled was only 4.5 points six years ago. In Moissac, in Tarn-et-Garonne, in Vauvert, in the Gard, and at Bruay-la-Buissière in Pas-de-Calais.