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Minister of Health Warns Romanians about Coronavirus Wave 6 and reinfection with BA.5 – iDevice.ro


Minister of Health Warns Romanians Wave 6 Coronavirus Reinfection BA.5

The Minister of Health spoke today during a press conference about the 6th wave of Coronavirus, which has already started in Romania, and which is dominated by the Omicron strain, but the BA.5 sub-strain is the one it brings to attention, because it generates reinfections even in Romanians vaccinated, or gone through the disease, in large numbers.

The Minister of Health expects two possible evolutions of wave 6, with a peak of 30,000 cases per week in mid-August, or 70,000 daily cases at the end of the same month, or the beginning of September, also stating that for the year BA.5 would have a higher pathogenicity, although it would be more contagious.

“Reinfections with the BA.5 variant are common, including for people who have gone through the disease with the Omicron variant, so with another sub-variant. You have seen that even in our country in the last 90 days there has been a proportion of about 20% of infections.

Given that at least 5 months have passed since wave 5, ie in January-February, and most of those vaccinated with 3 doses are at least 6 months after vaccination, it is clear that there is an evasion of the immune response, and practically this Omicron’s variant, BA.5, produces infections in vaccinated people and those who have gone through the disease, so we estimate an increase in the next period, without having the possibility of an extremely rigorous prediction.

We have 2 scenarios that we present, the one that is figured in a kind of cream, in which the top of this mini-wave, or wave, we will see depending on the number of cases, will be somewhere between 7 – 10 August. The second variant, less optimistic, in which the peak of wave 6 will be towards the end of August, beginning of September, with a weekly total of cases of about 70,000, ie 10,000 cases per day.

It remains to be seen whether these things will be confirmed in this way. From what I read for other states, the presumption is that the peak of wave 6 in Europe will be somewhere at the end of July. We have a 2-week gap with the rest of the European Union, and because of this, probably a reasonable scenario could be between August 14-21, but I repeat, these are purely informative data.

They are not a commitment, because no one can know exactly what is happening. We are talking about a very variable virus in which its main feature in the last year has been the change in transmissibility, fortunately with the decrease in pathogenicity, and we hope that this will be confirmed in the next period. “

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