I see the attack as an act of war by the United States against Iran.
What drove US President Trump to this serious attack?
The recent drone attack looks like another impulse from Trump. So he discussed the attack with Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, but not with Congress. It is quite possible that Trump saw the pictures of the storming of the US embassy in Baghdad on TV and then ordered the attack on Soleimani. The attack is another example of Trump’s chaotic foreign policy.
The Iranians have already announced revenge. What are possible goals?
There will be a massive response from the Iranians. For example, attacks against US troops or oil fields in Iraq are conceivable. Likewise attacks on US warships and tankers in the Persian Gulf. On the other hand, I don’t think Israel is caught in the crossfire. The Iranians want to hit the US directly.
How serious do you rate the current escalation in a historical comparison?
In the past, Iranian militaries have been murdered several times by western intelligence agencies. Soleimani is a different caliber. I see this as an act of war by the United States against Iran.
Is there a threat of a conflagration in the entire region?
The situation is extremely worrying. Nobody knows what’s coming.
Switzerland has represented the interests of the United States in Iran since 1980. Can Swiss diplomats mediate in the current conflict?
Switzerland is just a postman. I don’t think the Department of Foreign Affairs can act as an intermediary.