14/04/2021
Act. a las 16:25
HONOR
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PSG’s move to the semifinals of the Champions League has boosted the candidacy of Kylian Mbappé to be the winner of the Ballon d’Or 2021. His role in the tie, especially in the first leg, has served to make the French striker the first favorite of the year in Betfair’s forecasts to win the prize within a cast with the 42 players. The podium is completed Robert Lewandowski, winner of the 2020 FIFA The Best award, and Cristiano Ronaldo.
The odds that Mbappé expire are, for now, high. Very high. Betfair gives you a 30% chance (3.5 odds) to win an award that no Frenchman has won since 1998, when Zidane he won this award from France Football magazine. Before Zizou, Platini (three awards), Papin Y In total (one each) were prophets in their land.
The presence of Lewandowski (fee 6.5) and Cristiano Ronaldo (Quota 7.0) on the podium can be striking, especially if one takes into account that the first was absent precisely from the Champions League tie that has elevated to Mbappé as a favorite for the award.
However, both the Pole and the Portuguese lead the battle for the Golden Boot as top scorers on the old continent this season. Also, if we take into account the calendar year, Lewandowski is the top scorer of the five major leagues (18 goals in this 2021) with Cristiano Ronaldo in fourth position (13 goals in the year in Serie A). Hence, the forecasts take into account the star of Bayern and Juventus.
The fall of Messi and the boom of Neymar
Beyond the head, the ‘sorpasso’ that has occurred between Messi Y Neymar. The good start of the Argentine allowed him to start the year as fourth in the forecasts, but the elimination in the Champions League of FC Barcelona precisely against PSG (another exhibition of Mbappé) has caused his quota to have fallen to € 15 per euro wagered, that is, only a 6.7% probability of winning the prize. He is now the 7th candidate.
Conversely, Neymar It has grown like foam and precisely boosted by its last good games in the Champions League, it has placed 4th, on the verge of a podium that could soon assail it if it continues like this. Now the Brazilian’s share to win the Ballon d’Or is 11.0.
LaLiga, away from the head
Despite the fall of Messi, the Argentine is the LaLiga player best placed to win the Ballon d’Or in Betfair forecasts. The following players of the Spanish competition in the list are further away if possible. Luis Suarez (Atlético) is 10th (odds 26.0) and Sergio Ramos (Real Madrid) is 15th (odds 41.0). Griezmann (FC Barcelona) and Benzema (Real Madrid) share the 16th place with a share of 51.0.
This is the list of the favorites to win the Ballon d’Or according to Betfair’s forecasts:
1.- Mbappé – Fee 3.5
2.- Lewandowski – 6.5
3.- Cristiano Ronaldo – 7.0
4.- Neymar – 11.0
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7.- Messi – 15.0
10.- Suarez – 26.0
15.- Sergio Ramos – 41.0
16.- Griezmann – 51.0
16.- Benzema – 51.0
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