“Le Havre Leader’s Fate Hangs in the Balance: All Possible Scenarios for Ligue 2 Promotion on the Line Against Dijon”

After his draw at Bastia (1-1), the Le Havre leader will play his rise on Friday June 2 against Dijon during the 38th and last day of Ligue 2. If the Ciels and Marines are in a favorable position, they could in the event of defeat being overtaken by Metz and Bordeaux. We detail all the possible scenarios. From best to worst.

It’s night or never to conclude. The people of Le Havre have never been so close to the goal. They are offered Friday, June 2 a golden chance to validate their ticket for the climb on the occasion of the 38th and last day of Ligue 2. The public, which has not tasted Ligue 1 games since the 2008-2009 season, was not mistaken. The match against Dijon at Stade Océane will be sold out.

However, the case could have been closed a long time ago. But Le Havre decided to break down in the final sprint. At the worst time. The dean club remains on two defeats – one in Annecy (0-1), the other at home against Valenciennes (0-2) – and a miraculous draw snatched from the 89^th minute in Bastia (1-1).
While the Normans counted up to 10 points ahead of the second – Sochaux at the time – on the evening of the 21^th day, in recent weeks they have seen their lead melt away like snow in the sun. Maroon (3^e) and especially Metz (2^e) took the opportunity to come back to within three points of the Le Havre leader.

The last act on Friday promises to be exciting. And the smallest details will count when distributing the two precious sesames for Ligue 1. In this three-way match, general goal differences (the difference between goals scored and goals conceded over the season) are almost equivalent (Le Havre +26, Metz +27 and Bordeaux +24).

Le Havre, like Metz which receives Bastia on Friday, have their destinies in their hands. A victory would give them each the keys to accession. Facing Dijon who will play not to go down, a draw would even be enough for the happiness of Le Havre. A defeat too but it would then be necessary to take out the calculator.

Le Havre promoted if:

• If he draws or wins against Dijon
• If he loses but Metz and/or Bordeaux does not win
• If they lose by one goal against Dijon and Bordeaux do not win by more than one goal against Rodez

The last point deserves clarification. Indeed, in the event of equality on points and goal differences between Le Havre and Bordeaux, the Ciel and Marine would be guaranteed to move up to Ligue 1. In this case, article 518 ter of the administrative regulations of the National Football League specifies that it is the criterion of the greatest number of points on the direct confrontations which is taken into account.

In this game, Le Havre came out on top after beating the Girondins twice, at the Océane stadium 1 to 0 on December 26, 2022 then at Matmut Atlantique 2 to 1 on January 31, 2023.

The worst scenario would be a defeat for Le Havre coupled with a success in Metz and a (large) victory for Bordeaux. The HAC would then remain alongside. The waste would be monumental when you think that the people of Le Havre have occupied the leader’s chair continuously since November.