ISW appreciated the real opportunities of Putin in Ukraine

The failure of the Kyiv offensive left Putin facing difficult decisions.

The President of the Russian Federation, Vladimir Putin, is not ready to take risks because of the threat of losing his status, because it is unlikely that he is ready to use nuclear weapons. At the same time, he each time refrained from making those decisions that needed a protracted war.

About it informs American Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

“The Russian authorities are belatedly implementing large-scale military reforms and treating the situation in Ukraine as a protracted and big war. However, Putin himself continues to adhere to the old model of low-key decision-making. to Ukraine in February 2022,” the analysts write.

Putin is clearly delaying the announcement of a second wave of so-called partial mobilization. At the same time, American and Western officials note that the head of the Kremlin is once again leaning towards a quiet mobilization due to concerns about the extreme unpopularity of the first wave.

“Putin is additionally conducting a poll to assess how Russians perceive the mobilization. ISW has also observed conflicting reports from representatives of the Russian State Duma and representatives of the Kremlin about changes in mobilization and conscription protocols, which likely indicates that Putin ordered the preparation of these provisions, but does not want to publicize them,” the report says.

The dictator is being blamed for a group of scapegoats who publicly risk in his stead and take the blame for Russia’s military failures and unpopular policies. He allows and sometimes facilitates criticism by Russian so-called military bloggers of the Russian Ministry of Defense in order to absolve himself of blame.

Read more:  Expert: It is completely possible for Ukraine to reach Crimea or recapture a greater part of Donbass

Russian intelligence agencies were reportedly waiting for the collapse of the Ukrainian military, and Kremlin propagandists published a pre-written article praising Russia’s “victory” on February 26, 2022.

Earlier it was reported that on the eve of the anniversary of the full-scale invasion of Ukraine Russian Federation launched an extensive diplomatic campaign.

IN RF officials are trying to present the war in Ukraine as a threat to internal security for Russians.

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