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Inflation is the highest in the last 24 years, the most expensive petrol and diesel prices – ČT24 – Česká televize

“Consumer prices rose by 12.7 percent compared to March last year. We recorded the most significant acceleration in price growth for fuels, which were half as expensive in March as a year ago. For example, Natural 95 was sold at petrol stations for an average of about 44.50 and diesel for 47 crowns per liter, “said Pavla Šedivá, Head of the CZSO Consumer Price Statistics Department.

Electricity prices rose by 24.7 percent year on year, natural gas prices by 37.7 percent and products and services for routine maintenance and repairs of the dwelling by 16.4 percent. People had to pay 13.9 percent extra for heat and hot water.

Expensive housing

According to statisticians, prices in the housing section again had the largest impact on year-on-year price level growth in March, where, in addition to owner-occupied housing, rental prices rose by 4.4 percent, water charges by 5.3 percent, sewerage by 6.4 percent and solid fuels by almost a fifth.

Next in line were prices in transport, where statistics recorded an increase of less than 22 percent.

In the case of food and non-alcoholic beverages, the prices of flour were higher by 30.3 percent year-on-year, semi-skimmed milk powder by 20.1 percent, butter by 31.9 percent and potatoes by 21.4 percent, statistics said. Compared to March last year, clothes were almost 20 percent more expensive and shoes were 15.4 percent more expensive.

Inflation exceeded the CNB’s estimate

March year-on-year inflation was 2.9 percentage points higher than estimated by the Czech National Bank (CNB) in the February forecast. The main reason was a significant increase in fuel prices. Another reason was the higher growth of food prices and regulated prices. Core inflation was also higher than estimated, which is seasonally adjusted inflation, changes in regulated prices and taxes, said Petr Král, Director of the CNB’s Monetary Section.

“The March data reflected additional price shocks in connection with the war in Ukraine and sanctions against Russia, both in the area of ​​commodity prices and in the area of ​​supplies of goods,” said King.


According to him, the exceptionally high growth in fuel prices in March was the result of a significant rise in oil prices due to the outbreak of war in Ukraine and a temporary weakening of the koruna for the same reason. “The war is also reflected in soaring food prices, as Ukraine is one of the world’s leading exporters of wheat,” he added.

According to the King, the CNB’s February forecast expected that inflation would peak at ten percent in the first half of this year and return to close to the 2 percent target at the monetary policy horizon, ie in the first half of 2023. “However, the observed rise in commodity prices and the war in Ukraine have a markedly pro-inflationary effect on domestic price developments, especially in the short term,” he added.

Rising prices will continue, economists warn

According to analysts, inflation can reach up to 15 percent. The peak can be expected around the middle of the year. For the rest of the year, however, the year-on-year rise in consumer prices will remain in double digits. Inflation could approach two percent in the middle of next year at the earliest, economists think.

“Given that new energy companies’ price lists are still being gradually added to inflation and food prices are not even rising yet, year-on-year inflation will continue to rise in the coming months. It is quite probable that in the second quarter it will overcome the limit of 14 percent and will start to decline only at the end of the year, “said Petr Dufek, Credit’s chief economist.


Even according to Akcenta analyst Miroslav Novák, high year-on-year growth in consumer prices is to be expected in the second quarter. “Inflation could peak at around 15 percent at the turn of the second and third quarters, but these estimates must be taken with caution. In addition, the very sharp rise in producer prices shows that very high inflation will continue in the second half of this year, “he said.

“Looking across the inflation basket shows that inflation is not just about energy, but has spread to almost the entire economy. Where prices usually changed by tenths of a percent from month to month, today there is an increase of one or two percent, “described Deloitte chief economist David Marek.

According to the chief economist of the Czech Banking Association, Jakub Seidler, due to the conflict in Ukraine, it is relatively impossible to estimate what peak inflation will reach this year. “For now, I expect 14.5 percent in the middle of the year. For the whole of this year, inflation will be around 13 percent, and will be the highest since 1993. Given this inflation development, the market currently assumes that the CNB will rise at rates slightly above six percent, “he said. The CNB’s key interest rate is now five percent.


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