Convective activity within the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ZICT) is at its peak. For several days already, meteorologists have been interested in cloud clusters. Two threats have been identified, the first is located northeast of Mada, the second east-northeast of the Mascarenes.
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The North of the Big Island has already suffered, since the beginning of the year, intense and stormy rains. The probable formation of a moderate tropical storm in the next five days near the coast Northeast of Madagascar is relatively worrying. New heavy rains, on soggy land, are likely to cause flooding and ruptured dykes in the capital. Everyone still remembers the images of the flooded suburbs in Antananarivo in 2022.
Meteo France precise : “A tropical system should develop in the northeast of Madagascar near the island ofAgalégaand is expected to become a moderate tropical storm before the end of the coming week. Initially, it should move towards the North-East of Madagascar and could cause heavy rains there from Wednesday.
A second pocket is under surveillance, it is located at theEast-North-Eastrelatively far from our shores. It will have no connection with the degradation of the weather expected in the second part of the week. A forecast from the meteorologists of the Chaudron station which specifies: “It is still too early to reliably consider possible impacts beyond the next 5 days.”
This general trend confirms the studies of specialists in the countries of the zone. The various analysts had stressed that the hurricane risk would be relatively high from mid-January 2023! Here we are…
