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Fukuyama named two “great dangers” of a long war in Ukraine. One of them he linked to Trump

This was discussed after a journalist asked what threatens the unity of the West and whether it can “disintegrate after the re-election of Donald Trump” to the post of US President.

“There are two big dangers. The first test is European support for Ukraine next winter. Russia has already effectively cut off natural gas supplies. And I think that with the onset of cold weather, Europe will have a real problem in finding a replacement for Russian gas. you mentioned,” Fukuyama replied.

According to him, support for Ukraine from the Republican Party is already weakening in the United States, and the Republican “Trump is on the other side – he is pro-Russian, not pro-Ukrainian.”

“Obviously, if he returns in 2024 to the presidency, this can solve all the problems of Russia today, because Trump intends to withdraw the US from NATO. In this way, the Kremlin will achieve its main goals simply by changing the course of American policy. That’s why I consider it extremely important that Ukraine make some progress and seize the initiative on the battlefield during the summer,” the philosopher explained.

He believes that unity in the West “depends on whether people believe that a military solution to the problem is likely in the short term.”

“If the opinion prevails that the situation has reached a dead end that will continue forever, then I think there will be cracks in the unity of the West and there will be more calls for Ukraine to give up territory in order to stop the war,” Fukuyama suggests.

War of Russia against Ukraine. The main thing (updated)

Context:

Russia openly invaded Ukrainian territory on 24 February. The head of the Kremlin, Vladimir Putin, explained the invasion by the need for some kind of “demilitarization” and “denazification” of Ukraine.

In early April, the Armed Forces of Ukraine expelled the invaders from the northern regions of the country, fighting continues in the south and east.

The West supported Ukraine in its opposition to Russian aggression, the Armed Forces of Ukraine receive Western types of weapons and ammunition.

At the same time, Western sanctions against Russia have tightened and financial support for Ukraine has increased.

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