Sunday’s Streaming Pitchers: Who to Start and Who to Avoid

Navigating the starting pitcher landscape can be tricky, especially on a Sunday. Here’s a breakdown of pitchers to consider streaming and those who might be better left on the bench.

Pitchers to Stream

• Tanner Houck (Boston Red Sox): Despite a recent rough outing where he was crushed for 11 earned runs in only 2 1/3 innings, Houck presents a favorable streaming opportunity. A home start against the Chicago White Sox could be the perfect remedy to lower his ERA.
• Clay Holmes (New York Mets): Holmes’ transition to the rotation shows promise. The former Yankees closer has rung up 18 hitters over his last two outings, spanning 10 1/3 innings. Facing a St.Louis cardinals lineup with below-average power in Citi Field adds to his appeal.

Pitchers to Avoid

• Mitch Keller (Pittsburgh Pirates): While Keller has potential, his matchup against the Cleveland Guardians is less than ideal. the cleveland guardians lineup isn’t imposing, but they put the ball in play and will accept walks. With a relatively low strikeout rate and high walk rate, there may be safer options available.

Matchup Analysis: best and Worst for Pitchers

Understanding the park factors, weather conditions, and opposing offenses can significantly impact a pitcher’s performance. Here are some of the best and worst matchups for pitchers on Sunday.

Today’s Best Matchups for Pitchers

• Chicago Cubs pitchers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks hitters: The average pitcher would post a 2.79 ERA in this matchup. Factors include a favorable offensive environment,park dimensions,and weather conditions.
• Philadelphia Phillies pitchers vs. Miami Marlins hitters: The average pitcher would post a 3.46 ERA in this matchup.

Today’s Worst Matchups for Pitchers

• Texas Rangers pitchers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers hitters: The average pitcher would post a 5.20 ERA in this matchup.
• Minnesota Twins pitchers vs. Atlanta Braves hitters: The average pitcher would post a 4.88 ERA in this matchup.
• Washington Nationals pitchers vs. Colorado Rockies hitters: The average pitcher would post a 4.86 ERA in this matchup.

Hitting Streamers: Capitalizing on Coors Field

When a doubleheader is scheduled in Coors Field, it’s time to pay attention. Here are some hitters to target, especially with favorable matchups against right-handed pitching.

Hitters to Stream

• Colorado Rockies Lefties (Ryan McMahon, Zac Veen, Michael Toglia): With the Washington Nationals sending two righties to the mound, Rockies’ left-handed hitters gain an edge.
• Washington nationals (Nathaniel Lowe, Dylan Crews, Amed rosario): Facing one lefty and one righty, these Nationals hitters have the best chance to start both games of the doubleheader.

matchup Analysis: Best and Worst for Hitters

Just as with pitchers, understanding the matchups for hitters is crucial for fantasy success.Here are some of the best and worst environments for hitters on Sunday.

Today’s Best Matchups for Hitters

• Chicago Cubs batters vs. Arizona Diamondbacks pitchers: The average hitter would post a .260 wOBA in this matchup.
• Arizona Diamondbacks batters vs. Chicago Cubs pitchers: The average hitter would post a .248 wOBA in this matchup.

Today’s Worst matchups for Hitters

• Arizona Diamondbacks batters vs.Chicago Cubs pitchers: The average hitter would post a.248 wOBA in this matchup.
• Chicago Cubs batters vs. Arizona Diamondbacks pitchers: The average hitter would post a .260 wOBA in this matchup.
• Kansas City Royals batters vs. Detroit Tigers pitchers: The average hitter would post a .262 wOBA in this matchup.

Betting Insights: Home Run and Pitcher Props

Looking to add some excitement to your Sunday? Here are some top home run and pitcher prop bets, generated by advanced analytics.

Today’s Top Home Run Prop Bets

• Jonathan Aranda: OVER 0.5 HR (+1000). Projection: 12% chance of this bet hitting, with a $29.47 EV. Aranda’s 93 mph average exit velocity is one of the best in the game as the start of last season (96th percentile).
• LaMonte Wade Jr: OVER 0.5 HR (+1100). Projection: 11% chance of this bet hitting, with a $28.88 EV. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1 mph in this matchup, the best of the day for hitters.
• Matt McLain: OVER 0.5 HR (+800). Projection: 14% chance of this bet hitting, with a $25.01 EV. McLain hits a high percentage of his fly balls to center field (39% — 88th percentile), which sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out toward the league’s fourth-shallowest CF fence in today’s game.

Today’s Top Pitcher Prop Bets

• Charlie Morton: OVER 5.5 K (+105). Projection: 67% chance of this bet hitting, with a $37.90 EV. Morton’s fastball spin rate has increased 103 rpm this season (2352 rpm) from where it was last season (2249 rpm).
• Jameson Taillon: UNDER 1.5 ER (+125). Projection: 55% chance of this bet hitting,
  

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