Updated: 19.09.202013:39
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fromChristian Stör
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conclude
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Florida has a crucial role to play in the presidential election. The voices of the Latinos could tip the scales.
- Joe Biden calls Donald Trump in the Presidential election out
- Take a poll Florida gives the Democrats a shock
- The sun state of USA is particularly hard-fought
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Kissimmee – that’s how you knew Joe Biden not yet. He stepped on the stage, went to the lectern – and suddenly made music. At least he took out his smartphone and played the Spanish-language pop song “Despacito”, with which Luis Fonsi had achieved a worldwide hit in 2017.
“Come on, dance a little, Joe. Come on, ”called Fonsi, who was there as well as singer Ricky Martin and actress Eva Longoria. Biden’s performance was a bit stiff, at least it bobbed and swayed a little to the music. before he turned the song off again and put his cell phone in his pocket.
After being introduced by Luis Fonsi, Joe Biden pulled out his phone and started playing Despacito ahead of his remarks kicking off Hispanic Heritage Month in Kissimmee, FL. pic.twitter.com/7R6hUZgLW1
– Sarah Mucha (@sarahmucha) September 16, 2020
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Joe Biden is fighting for the votes of the Latinos in Florida
The first campaign appearance of Joe Biden in the US state Florida was aimed primarily at a group of voters. About 3.1 million Latinos are entitled to vote in the presidential election in Florida on November 3, that is almost 20 percent of the entire electorate in the sunny state. “The Hispanic community holds the fate of this country in its hand,” said Biden during his performance in Kissimmee. “I ask for your vote. I’ll work hard every day to get it. “
Joe Biden is fighting for the votes of the Latinos in Florida.
© afp / JIM WATSON
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Actually stands Joe Biden a tough fight ahead. Because the times when the Latinos A majority of the Democrats seem to have automatically supported the Democrats. Anyway, a poll by NBC News / Marist now has for a quake in Florida taken care of. While Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton still had a clear majority, Biden is suddenly four points behind in this eminently important group of voters. This is a shock to the Democrats because without the votes of the Latinos, success is in Florida basically hardly possible.
That’s how the election in Florida went in 2016
voter turnout 75 % Candidates Donald Trump Hillary Clinton Visa Mike Pence Tim Kaine Political party republican Democrats be right 4.617.886 4.504.975 percent 49,02 % 47,82 % —
Now is Joe Biden not necessarily to the 29 votes of Florida instructed to move into the White House, but a victory would make the way there much easier. In fact, experts estimate the probability that Biden will move into the White House if they win in Florida at up to 96 percent. A turning point could be Donald Trump probably only succeed if afterwards everything goes wrong for Biden that can go wrong at all.
Our model says that if Biden wins Florida, he has a 96%-ish chance of winning of the election. We’ll know who wins Florida before midnight. Sooo…. https://t.co/NPDd5AZ0KW
– G. Elliott Morris (@gelliottmorris) September 1, 2020
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In addition, should Florida especially in this one Corona year be one of the first states to announce its results on election night. A defeat in Florida would take the wind out of Trump’s sails and make it much more difficult for him to simply declare himself the winner before counting all the votes in all states.
Latinos in Florida are skeptical about Joe Biden
But why is happening Joe Biden in Florida so hard with the electorate of the Latinos? This is not the case in Colorado, New Mexico, Nevada, Arizona or Texas. Apparently it is Donald Trump in Florida actually succeeded in branding Joe Biden as a tool of the “socialists”. That should make an impression especially on those people whose families fled from socialist or communist regimes in Cuba, Nicaragua or Venezuela.
In addition, especially those of Cuban origin are much more likely to favor the Republicans anyway. The situation is different with the Puerto Ricans, who are more inclined towards the Democrats. Addressing all these different target groups equally is hardly possible.
Second poll from Florida encourages Joe Biden
But there is also good news for Joe Biden. Because a survey by Monmouth University painted a very different picture of the situation in Florida. While 58 percent of the Latinos want to vote for Biden, Trump only has 32 percent. This result is much more reminiscent of 2016 than the NBC News / Marist poll.
But despite their lead among the Latinos Hillary Clinton had to be in Florida give up. Joe Biden so will need a few more votes. Whether to be “Slowly” -Auftritt helped him? (By Christian Stör)
Header list image: © afp / JIM WATSON
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