How is it prepared Cherson The only provincial capital I controlled Russia From the start of its offensive, abandoning it would have been a serious setback for Moscow.
And these developments come after I placed my order Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, on Wednesday, his forces withdraw from the western bank of the Dnipro River, facing Ukrainian attacks Neighbor City of Cherson Southern Ukraine, marking a significant retreat and a potential turning point in the war.
In the first American comment, the president said Joe Biden The withdrawal shows that the Russian military is suffering "real problems" In the war.
American planning
On the withdrawal from Kherson and what it represents for the Russian military, the strategist and former general of the Australian army, Mick Ryan, says:
- Withdrawal is an activity routinely used during a late defense to achieve the overall goal of resuming offensive action.
- It should be treated as a routine tactic rather than a harbinger of disaster for Russia.
- It exists in the doctrine of the US military.
- It is designed to allow a military force to disengage from the enemy and redeploy on a new mission or deploy to a new location.
- Its importance lies in trying to minimize losses.
How does Russia carry out a safe withdrawal?
Ryan explains why the Russians resorted to retreat to try to deceive the Ukrainians, but this requires, according to him:
- Intensification of periodicals.
- Increased fire support, simulation of normal activities and communications discipline
- It’s hard to keep it secret all the time.
The strategist continued: "For the Russians, retreating to the west bank of the Dnipro River would be difficult, but not impossible"adding: "For the Russians to withdraw safely, they must increase air defense, jamming operations, artillery fire and more air support, to disrupt the Ukrainians’ ability to interfere with the withdrawal.".
Ryan said: "The Ukrainians will want to destroy or capture as much Russian force on the Dnipro bank as possible and will have a significant strategic impact on the success of any offensive or the resumption of Russian offensive operations in the future.
tactics "dragon fangs"
Regarding the Battle of Mariupol in southern Ukraine, the British Defense Ministry said Russia is preparing new fortified lines deep within the territories it controls. "To prevent any rapid Ukrainian progress in case of developments".
This includes the installation of concrete barriers known as "dragon fangs" Stop tanks in areas including those near Mariupol in the south to help protect "Continental Bridge" Russia leads to the Crimea, even if Moscow loses other territories or breaks through its military fronts.
According to a British intelligence report, "dragon fangs" she:
- Pyramidal anti-tank defensive structures in reinforced concrete.
- It is likely to be installed between Mariupol and Nikolsky and from northern Mariupol to the village of Stary Kerim.
- They were sent to equip defensive fortifications in Zaporizhia and Kherson.
- Russia has fortified its lines in all areas it controls since October 19.
- These walls are also under construction in Lugansk Oblast.
As for "Institute of War Studies" He says the Russian forces have continued defensive preparations in Kherson, are conducting an active defense and are trying to maintain the positions they have gained throughout the region.
On Monday, according to the American Institute, geographically determined snapshots and photos reveal the presence of Russian concrete defensive structures at Hola Pristan, about 8 kilometers south of Kherson on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River.
Post-withdrawal forecast
For her part, military affairs researcher Mina Adel predicts that the battles will take place in the next few days, following the following withdrawal:
- The Russian ground forces were at the same time subject to Ukrainian air and artillery attacks.
- Strong intervention by air defense units on both sides, which will require neutralization by the aviation of the two countries.
- Suicide drones and cruise missiles will play an important role on the Russian side in various regions to distract Ukrainian forces from tactical withdrawal.
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and for the city MariupolWith a population of around 410,000, Russia is of strategic importance because it allows it to link its forces in Crimea with those in the breakaway regions of Russia. Donbass region.
How is it prepared Cherson The only provincial capital I controlled Russia From the start of its offensive, abandoning it would have been a serious setback for Moscow.
And these developments come after I placed my order Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu, on Wednesday, his forces withdraw from the western bank of the Dnipro River, facing Ukrainian attacks Neighbor City of Cherson Southern Ukraine, marking a significant retreat and a potential turning point in the war.
In the first American comment, the president said Joe Biden The withdrawal shows that the Russian military has “real problems” in the war.
American planning
On the withdrawal from Kherson and what it represents for the Russian military, the strategist and former general of the Australian army, Mick Ryan, says:
- Withdrawal is an activity routinely used during a late defense to achieve the overall goal of resuming offensive action.
- It should be treated as a routine tactic rather than a harbinger of disaster for Russia.
- It exists in the doctrine of the US military.
- It is designed to allow a military force to disengage from the enemy and redeploy on a new mission or deploy to a new location.
- Its importance lies in trying to minimize losses.
How does Russia carry out a safe withdrawal?
Ryan explains why the Russians resorted to retreat to try to deceive the Ukrainians, but this requires, according to him:
- Intensification of periodicals.
- Increased fire support, simulation of normal activities and communications discipline
- It’s hard to keep it secret all the time.
And the strategist continued: “For the Russians, the withdrawal on the western bank of the Dnipro River will be difficult, but not impossible,” adding: “For the Russians to conduct a safe retreat, they must increase air defense, blocking operations, fire of artillery and the presence of greater air support, to prevent the Ukrainians’ capabilities from interfering with the withdrawal. ”.
“The Ukrainians will want to destroy or capture as much Russian force on the Dnipro bank as possible and it will have a significant strategic impact on the success of any offensive or the resumption of Russian offensive operations in the future,” Ryan said.
Dragon fang tactics
Regarding the battle of Mariupol in southern Ukraine, the British Defense Ministry said Russia is preparing new fortified lines deep within the territory it controls “to prevent a rapid Ukrainian advance in the event of developments”.
This includes installing concrete barriers known as “dragon fangs” to stop tanks, including those near Mariupol in the south, to help protect Russia’s “land bridge” to Crimea even if Moscow loses territory or breaks through its military fronts.
According to the British intelligence report, the “dragon fangs” are:
- Pyramidal anti-tank defensive structures in reinforced concrete.
- It is likely to be installed between Mariupol and Nikolsky and from northern Mariupol to the village of Stary Kerim.
- They were sent to equip defensive fortifications in Zaporizhia and Kherson.
- Russia has fortified its lines in all areas it controls since October 19.
- These walls are also under construction in Lugansk Oblast.
As for the War Study Institute, Russian forces are said to have continued defensive preparations in Kherson, are conducting active defense and are trying to maintain the positions they have gained throughout the region.
On Monday, according to the American Institute, geographically determined snapshots and photos reveal the presence of Russian concrete defensive structures at Hola Pristan, about 8 kilometers south of Kherson on the eastern bank of the Dnipro River.
Post-withdrawal forecast
For her part, military affairs researcher Mina Adel predicts that the battles will take place in the next few days, following the following withdrawal:
- The Russian ground forces were at the same time subject to Ukrainian air and artillery attacks.
- Strong intervention by air defense units on both sides, which will require neutralization by the aviation of the two countries.
- Suicide drones and cruise missiles will play an important role on the Russian side in various regions to distract Ukrainian forces from tactical withdrawal.
