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Covid. Why is Brazil worrying the world and panicking the authorities? !!


The worst is never certain. The best either.

It is important to see reality as it is. No worse, but as it is.

So to understand the panic that is gaining the world authorities including in our country and at the highest level of the State, we must look to the side of Brazil and in particular from an Amazon region whose local capital is Manaus.

76% of people infected and therefore collective immunity reached!

Manaus was particularly affected during the first wave of the epidemic, and overall, the Brazilian health authorities let the epidemic pass. As a result, almost the entire population was sick with an estimated rate in October 2020 of 76% of the population having developed antibodies to Covid. (Source of scientific study on this subject download here). Note that this study, like almost everything in this story of coronavirus and SARS-CoV-2, is also disputed by some because of certain biases.

This in itself was good news and above all it is the first and only place on the planet to have achieved collective immunity even before all the vaccination processes currently underway.

Yet while this shouldn’t have happened, the unthinkable is happening in Brazil.

A second wave hits Manaus, even more deadly, even stronger, and collective immunity yet reached does not seem to change the case.

People are dying again. Younger, faster, with stronger symptoms.

“It kills young people” – the new strain of COVID emerging in the Brazilian Amazon and panicking the planet!

While you hear about the English or South African variant almost every day, it’s not so much what people talk about that you should be wary of, but rather what they don’t talk to you about.

And on which variant are we the most discreet?

On that of Brazil.

And for good reason.

Brazilian authorities fear they have a new strain on their hands that is more contagious and deadly than anything the world has seen before.

According to a report published by Brazilian media outlet Universo Online, an increase in cases and deaths, especially among young patients, in the hard-hit Amazon city of Manaus (located in northwestern Brazil, on the banks of the Negro River) caught the attention of health professionals working on the front lines of the pandemic in the hard-hit Central Latin America.

Source Brazilian article here.

According to information coming to us, the most alarming change has been an increase in the number of deaths among young people, who are now dying in greater numbers than in previous waves of the epidemic in Manaus. , who has long struggled with strained healthcare resources.

According to Manaus death records for the past 30 days cited by ULO, four in ten deaths during this period involved patients under the age of 60 in the state.

“There is no doubt that many more young people are dying. We are not just talking about a risk group: it is in all age groups, affecting babies, children, adolescents even without comorbidities », Emphasizes infectious disease specialist Silvia Leopoldina, who also works in the state and municipal public networks of Manaus.

The doctor says there have been changes in disease behavior in the condition. “Before, the first symptoms of severity appeared around the tenth day. There are now patients who, with seven, eight days, in respiratory distress. “

“Something very different is happening in Manaus. I don’t know if it’s a new strain or if it’s something different. But those on the front lines are seeing an increase in the severity of cases, ”says infectious disease specialist and researcher Noaldo Lucena, who works in popular clinics, home care and public hospitals.

The new infection and the number of deaths are so severe, he says, that they go beyond the greater contagiousness already known from the new variant of the virus.

“Obviously, we are dealing with an invisible being who is much more pathogenic and transmissible. Today whole families come in with symptoms at the same time, whereas before it was only one at a time. “

Lucena also added that the Manaus patients had more severe lung damage.

“You auscultate the patient’s lungs and hear nothing. But when you see the tomographic image, you don’t believe how much damage there is with so little visible clinical impact. “

While researchers are still working to confirm exactly what is causing the spike in deaths and severity in Manaus, the biggest fears remain: that new mutations in COVID-19 may be able to pierce immunity from past infections and disease. vaccine.

Perhaps the cause of the mutation E484K

In this epidemic, history is being written in the present, what was true 6 months ago is no longer true and new realities can emerge particularly quickly.

There would be a common point between the South African and Brazilian variants, the mutation called E484K which would make the antibodies and probably the vaccines currently deployed much less effective. It is for this reason that a few days ago I told you that it was a race against time, and that probably, the battle for vaccination was already lost.

So let’s hope that this new variant, which would be likely to reconfigure the whole world, remains confined to Brazil and its Amazon region. Hopefully, he doesn’t make his way through Guyana. In short, let’s hope that we do not replay the Wuhan scenario, with Agnès Buzyn, martial, who told us that “the chances of the virus arriving in France were close to zero”.

I don’t even dare talk about the idea of ​​closing the borders … that would probably be fascist, but in real life the same causes produce the same effects, and if we do the same stupidity again, then we will all have these variants, and by leaving the borders open, we will have the right to all lock ourselves in our homes for long, very long weeks.

It is this worst-case scenario that now haunts the Elysee Palace, and I am not even talking about the irreparable damage to our economy.

Stay tuned.

It is already too late, but all is not lost. Prepare yourselves !

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