Covid in Italy, “now there has been a phase change, a significant burden on hospitals”

A passage of the epidemic phase in Italy. It starts like this – and a worried attack, on the day that the new infections return to exceed 5,300 – the weekly monitoring, for the period 28 September – 4 October 2020, on the situation of the pandemic of Covid in Italy, drawn up by the Ministry of Health and the Higher Institute of Health.

Monitoring also immediately indicates which element is of greatest concern: for the first time, in a long time, there are significant signs of criticality relating to the spread of the virus in our country. There is a significant load of local services that must be monitored for its potential effects on welfare services.

Of course, the government has implemented reinforced measures, but it is necessary to avoid events and initiatives at risk of aggregation in public and private places and to adopt rigorous individual behaviors with awareness (in particular physical distancing and the use of masks) in order to limit the risk of transmission to avoid further and more rapid worsening of the epidemic.

According to what was reported, the cumulative incidence in the last 14 days of 44.37 per 100,000 inhabitants (compared to 34.2 per 100,000 inhabitants in the previous period).

In the period 17 – 30 September 2020, the RT calculated on symptomatic cases equal to 1.06.

Active foci are 3,805 active outbreaks, of which 1,181 new: outbreaks are present in 104 out of 107 provinces. Most of these outbreaks continue to occur in the home setting (77.6%), while transmission in the educational and recreational context remains, for now, very limited.

Here is the RT and the incidence per 100 thousand inhabitants, Region by Region
Umbria: 1.12; incidence 304.22 per 100,000
Tuscany: 0.99; incidence 413.68 per 100,000
Valle d’Aosta: 1.09, incidence 1056.57 per 100,000
Sicily: 1.22, incidence 159.31 per 100,000
Puglia: 1.01, incidence 201.51 per 100,000
Piedmont: 1.3, incidence 840.47 per 100,000
Trento: 1.18, incidence 1146.59 per 100,000
Bolzano: 1.1, incidence 687.49 per 100,000
Sardinia: 1.01, incidence 245.08 per 100,000
Lombardy: 0.95, incidence 1074.91 per 100,000
Molise: 0.61, incidence 224.97 per 100,000
Marche: 0.91, incidence 538.92 per 100,000
Lazio 1.16, incidence 304.8 per 100,000
Liguria: 1.09, incidence 908.42 per 100,000
Friuli-Venezia Giulia: 1.09, incidence 404.26 per 100,000
Emilia-Romagna: 0.84, incidence 807.88 per 100,000
Campani: 1.24, incidence 247.59 per 100,000
Calabria: 1.02, incidence 105.78 per 100,000
Basilicata: 0.93, incidence 159.98 per 100,000
Abruzzo: 1.13, incidence 351.44 per 100,000
Veneto: 1.13, incidence 592.11 per 100,000

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