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Covid in Italy, monitoring: “Acceleration in the evolution of the epidemic, national Rt equal to 1.17”

In Italy we are witnessing an acceleration in the evolution of the epidemic has now entered an acute phase with a progressive increase in the number of cases, evidence of criticality in local services and increases in the occupancy rate of beds in the intensive care and medical area which risk, in some regions and autonomous provinces, reaching critical values in the next month.

To write it, in monitoring weekly, are the Higher Institute of Health and the Ministry of Health. The virus now circulates across the country, and the new data highlights important warning signs linked to increased transmission. In the period 24 September – 07 October 2020, the RT calculated on symptomatic cases is equal to 1.17. A strong increase in cases was observed in the week from 5 to 11 October, bringing the incidence in the last 14 days to 75 per 100,000 inhabitants against 44.37 per 100,000 inhabitants in the period from 21 September to 4 October. In the same period, the number of symptomatic cases almost doubled: 15,189 symptomatic cases in the period 28 / 9-11 / 10 against 8,198 symptomatic cases in the period 21 / 9-4 / 10.

They have been reported overall 4,913 active outbreaks, of which 1,749 new, both increasing for the eleventh consecutive week (3,805 active outbreaks were reported in the previous monitoring week, of which 1,181 new). Outbreaks have been reported in almost all provinces (102 out of 107). Most of these outbreaks continue to occur in the home setting (80.3%). The percentage of outbreaks detected in recreational activities remained stable (4.2% vs 4.1% the previous week). But, the ISS and the ministry note, this week the outbreaks in which transmission could have occurred in the school environment are increasing, but the intra-school transmission remains overall a dynamic of limited transmission: 3.8% of all new outbreaks in which the context of transmission was reported. However, extra-curricular activities can be a trigger of transmission chains if the foreseen prevention measures are not respected.

Therefore, the Higher Institute of Health and the Ministry of Health appeal to the population to respect with conscience and precision all the precautionary rules provided (in particular the physical spacing and the correct and appropriate use of masks) and to avoid as much as possible situations that may favor transmission such as spontaneous and planned aggregations to avoid further deterioration which could require territorially widespread restrictions.

The RT – the index that measures the transmission of the infection – returns, at national level, above quota 1. Here are the RT data at the regional level and the average incidence per 100 thousand inhabitants.

Abruzzo: Rt 1.18, incidence 391 per 100,000
Basilicata: Rt 1, incidence 175 per 100 thousand
Calabria: Rt 0.94, incidence 117 per 100 thousand
Campania: Rt 1.29, incidence 324 per 100 thousand
Emilia Romagna: Rt 1.12, 851 per 100 thousand inhabitants
Friuli: Rt 1.24, 433 per 100 thousand inhabitants
Lazio: Rt 1.14, 350 out of 100 thousand inhabitants
Liguria: Rt 1.02, 1004 per 100,000 inhabitants
Lombardy: Rt 1.15, 1136 per 100 thousand inhabitants
Marche: Rt 1.14, 569 per 100 thousand inhabitants
Molise: Rt 0.83, 260 per 100 thousand inhabitants
Bolzano: Rt 1.32, 769 per 100,000 inhabitants
Trento: Rt 1.15, 1195 per 100,000 inhabitants
Piedmont: Rt 1.39, 901 per 100,000 inhabitants
Puglia: Rt 1.14, 247 per 100,000 inhabitants
Sardinia: Rt 1.1, 287 per 100,000 inhabitants
Sicily: Rt 1.23, 191 per 100 thousand inhabitants
Tuscany: Rt 1.28, 460 out of 100,000 inhabitants
Umbria: Rt 1.4, 382 per 100 thousand inhabitants
Aosta Valley: Rt 1.53, 1177 per 100,000 inhabitants
Veneto: Rt 1.15, 656 per 100 thousand inhabitants


October 15, 2020 (change October 15, 2020 | 21:29)

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