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COVID-19 turned out to be deadlier than the Spanish flu

According to their calculations, the Spanish flu has tripled the death rate, and COVID-19 has quadrupled. “With insufficient treatment, SARS-CoV-2 infection can have comparable or greater mortality than infection with the 1918 H1N1 influenza virus,” the authors said.

Russian experts generally agree with the assessments of their colleagues, but note that final conclusions can only be drawn after the end of the current pandemic. In addition, if the situation can be brought under control with the help of the developed vaccines, this will be a fundamental difference from the tragedy that happened a hundred years ago.

“It looks like COVID-19 has inflicted at least New York, damage comparable to losses from the Spanish flu, – said a leading researcher at the laboratory of molecular biology MSU them. MV Lomonosov Roman Zinovkin. – The main difficulty in interpreting the data is that we don’t really know how many people were infected with the Spanish flu. However, the data on COVID-19 cannot be considered 100% accurate yet, even if we are guided by the data of antibody tests. “

The spread of the Spanish flu was largely facilitated by the First World War. The soldiers moved between the countries of Europe, Africa and Western Asia, came from the United States and returned back, traveled by ship and by rail. Now the world situation allows to close the borders between countries.

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