The COVID-19 outbreak is beginning to have an economic impact. Which the Economic and Business Forecasting Center estimates Damage that occurs about 2,000 million baht per day, if prolonged for 1 month will affect the economy 45,000 – 60,000 million baht per month
Today (23 Dec 2020) Asst. Prof. Thanawat Phonvichai, President of the University of the Thai Chamber of Commerce And Chairman of Advisors, Economic and Business Forecasting Center Predict the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak in Samut Sakhon Province, which occurs on the province’s spending on average more than 300 million baht per day or 10,000 million baht per month.
Making overall spending of Thailand Affected an average of 1,500-2,000 million baht per day or 45,000-60,000 million baht per month from the gross domestic product value. Average at about 15.5 trillion baht
Preliminary found that the economic cash in Samut Sakhon Average turnover is 1,000 million baht per day, 70 percent of which comes from the industrial sector. But now the factory is still operating as usual. Transportation of goods, which is mainly food groups Still not much impact Both domestic consumption and exports have not seen any clear contraction signs. Because consumers still eat seafood as usual
From proactive measures to prevent And solve the problems of the Ministry of Public Health In addition, there are 10 people infected outside Samut Sakhon province who have been infected from the shrimp central market, believing that the government can control this situation And it is expected that the situation will resolve within 14 days, but if the number of infected people outside Samut Sakhon rises to 50-100 people or more, there will be a greater impact, so must continue to closely monitor the infected.
3 hits a new wave of COVID-19
This is in line with the Kasikorn Research Center Company Limited which assesses the new increase in the number of COVID-19 infections in the absence of a cluster of infected in other provinces. Or the event does not spread until the need to log down a wide That the Thai economy and industry May receive a loss of 45 billion baht in a one-month time frame, but if it can be controlled and the government has measures to ensure a quick return, there is a chance that the loss value will be lower than the estimated figure. hold
The impacts from the new COVID-19 cycle can be classified as follows: 1. The losses associated with fisheries and seafood products may have a combined value of approximately 13 billion baht due to the possibility of slowing down of fisheries consumption. And seafood in short
2. The loss of people delaying activities during the New Year celebrations. Especially people in the Bangkok area Worth not less than 15,000 million baht
And 3. losses from the delay in domestic tourism Approximately 17,000 million baht lost money or about 30 percent of tourism revenue in a period of one month, under the case of not yet announced a ban on traveling across the province. The areas expected to be affected are provinces in the western and central regions, including Bangkok, the border provinces of Thailand and Myanmar.
In addition to the three aspects of the loss, the new COVID-19 situation may have other impacts. That cannot be clearly valued, such as the impact on the income of entrepreneurs who trade in other products in the market From the fact that people avoid traffic In areas with an outbreak or found infected people
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