Rome, 26 October 2020 – “The set of measures are a step forward, but in my opinion not sufficient to deal with the circulation of the virus at this time”. This is what Walter claimed today, to the microphones of ‘Omnibus’ on La7 Ricciardi, full professor of Hygiene at the Catholic University of the Sacred Heart and advisor to the Minister of Health. According to the professor, the restrictions of the new Dpcm may not be enough to contain the Coronavirus epidemic. And he explained: “The measures must be taken in a manner proportionate to the circulation of the virus, which at this time in some areas of the country spreads, is uncontrolled: when we have a contagion index of 2.5 it means that the transmission of the virus is exponential and therefore there is a need for more aggressive measures on all fronts. “Then, speaking today at the webinar” Beyond the emergency “, which took place today in virtual mode at Veronafiere, he added : “The way forward is the one outlined by a research ofUniversity of Edinburgh, published in the Lancet last week: is necessary another lockdown“. The lockdown set and other procedures listed” in eight days would stabilize and would then make the contagion curve drop drastically – he continued -. Relying on the responsibility of individual citizens, at best, would instead lead to a reduction in infections of just 3% “.
Covid Bulletin of October 26, today’s data and table
Regarding the Lancet study, Ricciardi then reported “colleagues from the University of Edinburgh have studied the experiences of 131 countries in the past months” and have come to say that “when the circulation of the virus is the size it is, for example , right now in Italy, France and Spain, the only thing needed to slow down this contagion index is a lockdown”. Of course, “you don’t have to do it generalized – underlined Ricciardi -, but where thecontagion rate is high why this slows down by 24%; if you combine it with a targeted closure of schools you increase this dimension by 15% and if you make a mandatory smart working for both the public and the private sector, you increase by 13% again, so you arrive at a reduction of 50-55%. The limitation of public transport accounts for a further 7% and these effects are seen after 8 days “.
“So – concluded the consultant to the Minister of Health – if we adopted at this time, and should have done so two weeks ago, all these measures, we would be able to in Milan, Naples, Rome and in some areas of the Piedmont and Liguria, to halve this contagion index. The index 2.5 means that each person infects another two and a half and going on like this we have a doubling of cases every two or three days, which is already unsustainable for the health services of those areas of the country, let alone in a week or ten days if this index is not slowed down “.
Covid, the immunologist: “Do not continue to lockdown, understand where the infection occurs”
WHO: “Measures reduce opportunities to get together”
According to theWHO the measures taken by Italy serve to “reduce virus spread“. To say this, when asked about the topic is Maria Van Kerkhove, head of the technical team for Covid-19.” The measures implemented they reduce the opportunities to get together of people, “Van Kerkhove said at the World Health Organization press conference.” But it is up to the individual to make these decisions about how we come together with each other. At the restaurant, bar or in your own home. Or in someone else’s house. I think we need to make sure that the way we continue to socialize, whatever we can do, will decrease the risk: so socialize in very tight circles, avoid big circles“. Van Kerkhove notes that” many countries are restricting the number of people attending these meetings. Do what you can, where you can, to minimize the opportunities for coming together. Especially in conditions of reduced ventilation. Reduce these opportunities, because they are the ones where the virus can spread. “
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