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Coronavirus Italy, monitoring: “Contagions on the rise and rise in the average age”

It confirms a increase in new cases reported in Italy for the seventh consecutive week with an incidence in the last 14 days (period 31 / 8-13 / 9) of 29.63 per 100,000 inhabitants.It is a trend more contained than that observed in other European countries, with 2,397 active outbreaks (+117) in almost all the provinces (101/107) and all Regions reported at least one new outbreak in the monitoring week. The national Rt index (here the explanation of how it is calculated and what it means) equal to 0.92 (calculated in the period between 27 August to 9 September 2020), but it could be underestimated. The virus is circulating throughout the country. To write it, in the weekly monitoring, relating to the period between 7 and 13 September, are the Ministry of Health and the Higher Institute of Health.

In most cases (81.9%) the infection continues to be contracted on the national territory, with a decrease in cases imported from abroad (10.8% of new cases diagnosed in the monitoring week).

For three weeks, however, we have witnessed a further epidemiological change. The signs detected last week of a greater transmission in the home / family environment with circulation of the virus even among people with more advanced age are confirmed. in fact still the median age of diagnosed cases is increasing (41 years in the monitoring week) ed 35% of new cases diagnosed in the monitoring week has over the age of 50.

The dynamics of transmission remain extremely fluid: they continue to be observed outbreaks associated with recreational activities (unchanged compared to the last week of monitoring) with a further increase in transmission in the family / domestic setting (73.6% of all active outbreaks in the monitoring week for which the context of probable exposure indicated). It is recommended to take precautions in particular to protect the most fragile people (elderly, people with pre-existing diseases) in the family.

However, it must interpret the national transmission rate with caution at this particular time of the epidemic. Indeed, Rt calculated on symptomatic cases, while remaining the most reliable indicator at regional level and comparable over time for monitoring transmissibility, could slightly underestimate the true transmission of the virus nationwide. Therefore, the national RT must always be interpreted taking into account the incidence figure.

who find today’s cases of contagion here under the regional Rt indicated in the weekly monitoring:

Emilia-Romagna: 0.71
Friuli-Venezia Giulia: 1.11
Calabria: 1.07
Campania: 0.71
Abruzzo: 0.86
Basilicata: 0.92
Lazio: 0.54
Liguria: 1.32
Walk: 0.85
Molise: 0.75
Bolzano: 0.99
Trento: 1.59
Piedmont: 0.69
Puglia: 1.13
Sardinia: 0.88
Aosta Valley: 0.61
Umbria: 0.85
Sicily: 1.08
Tuscany: 0.91
Veneto: 0.88
Lombardy: 0.74


18 September 2020 (change September 18, 2020 | 18:58)

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