The government is already working on a plan that eases current measures without exposing the risk of a third wave after the holidays. But everything will depend on how the RT and the contagion curve evolve
by Mariolina Sesto
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The government is already working on a plan that eases current measures without exposing the risk of a third wave after the holidays. But everything will depend on how the RT and the contagion curve evolve
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At Christmas there are still about 40 days, a very long period in the covid era where you can navigate by sight and forecasts always risk being risky. However, now that some indicators – the RT in primis – show that they are shyly retreating, the government begins to think about which strategy to adopt to revive the economy a bit with the arrival of the thirteenth and at the same time to avoid a big ” binge ”Christmas turns into the trigger of a third wave of the virus, in short, to prevent Christmas from turning into an encore of August.
Hypothesis of stop or relaxation of the curfew
One of the restrictive measures that – contagion curve permitting – could fall is the one that now imposes a curfew from 22 to 5 throughout Italy. It was introduced by the Prime Minister’s Decree of November 3 and therefore will expire one month later, on December 3. If the RT that will be released on Friday 4 December has stabilized at around 1 or even below 1, the curfew could lapse, thus leaving room for restaurants and bars to open in the evening and at night. If, on the other hand, the data on the infections were not sufficiently reassuring, the stop to the measure could be postponed closer to Christmas to allow at least the dinner with close relatives. Or alternatively be moved forward a few hours, for example to start instead of 10 pm a few hours later.
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Movements between Regions
One of the scenarios is that, in a month full of restrictions and closures, we can get close to Christmas with the regions all in the yellow zone. This – theoretically – would give space to the possibility of moving between Regions and therefore being able to reach, for example, the family of origin if it is far away. A possibility that in any case will have to deal with recommendations, which will once again be put in black and white, not to gather more than 6 people or so, to use masks and disinfectant gel at home and to keep the distance of one meter . Always valid rules to be strictly observed to protect the elderly in the first place but not only.
Shops
One of the objectives is then – at least – to reach a stage in which the curtain has fallen on the red regions, which in the meantime have passed at least in the orange zone. This would allow – in the period before Christmas – to reopen the shops that had to lower their shutters, especially in the red regions of the North. And to remove the padlocks from shopping malls that are now with the lights out at the weekend even in many of the yellow regions that have issued their own ordinances. This easing would make it possible to revive stagnant consumption a little after the boom in the third quarter. Of course, even the ritual of Christmas gifts will in all probability be regulated with recommendations and prohibitions to prevent it from becoming the “Trojan horse” of the third wave.
Christmas markets
They do not seem destined to reopen the traditional Christmas markets, whose stop has arrived – peremptory and well ahead of its time – as early as November 3 with the last Dpcm. It is very difficult for the Government to reconsider because these initiatives risk greatly exposing cities to gatherings that are difficult to regulate.
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