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Manchester United were eliminated in the group stage, the other Premier League representatives Manchester City, Liverpool and Chelsea won their group like Bayern, so they are out of the question. Stay because the Bundesliga clubs RB Leipzig and Borussia Mönchengladbach cannot be drawn and Bayern’s preliminary round opponent Atlético Madrid is also eliminated, only five possible opponents. At first glance: all conquerable.
In the AZ overview here is the feasibility study, from easy going to tough chunks:
FC Barcelona
The Catalans around coach Ronald Koeman experience a season full of chaos, in the club management and on the pitch. The whereabouts of superstar Lionel Messi is not even guaranteed through the winter transfer period until the beginning of February. The team around the German goalkeeper Marc-André ter Stegen is bobbing in the middle of the table of the Primera División, not even qualifying for the next Champions League seems certain. And there was something: The 2: 8 humiliation by Bayern in the quarter-finals in Lisbon is still too present. Bavaria would be a real hammer lot for Barça – and vice versa (almost) a bye? Hence Munich Chance of progress: 90%
Lazio Rom
The Dortmund team learned in the preliminary round that the capital city club around coach Simone Inzaghi can be an unpleasant opponent. 1: 3 in Rome, 1: 1 in Dortmund. But what does a 1: 5 loser against Stuttgart mean? Unbeaten, the “Laziali” qualified for the second time for the knockout round of the premier class on their sixth participation. In Serie A, however, Lazio is mediocre. Probability of getting ahead: 75%
FC Porto
Portugal’s champions finished second in the group behind Manchester City, but are only third in the domestic league behind Sporting and Benfica Lisbon – too little for the claims of coach Sérgio Conceição’s team.
Current stars: Defense oldie Pepe, the Brazilian Felipe Anderson and the Mexican Jesús Corona (sic!). Chance of progress: 70%
Atalanta Bergamo
It would be the first meeting in the European Cup. The Lombards of coach Gian Piero Gasperini only narrowly failed in their first premier class participation in the quarter-finals against later finalists Paris (1: 2).
This time they surprised in the group stage with successes at Liverpool and Ajax Amsterdam. In Serie A, Atalanta ranks midfield with DFB national player Robin Gosens. Chance of progress: 65%
FC Sevilla
There could be a quick reunion with the Andalusians. In September, Bayern won the game for the European Super Cup in Budapest 2-1 in extra time.
The weaknesses of Real and Barça cannot exploit coach Julen Lopetegui’s side in the Primera División. Nevertheless: The eternal Europa League winner (2014-16 and 2020) is a very unpleasant opponent. Chance of progress: 60%
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