At least as regards the official data offered daily, the Canary Islands, Murcia, the Balearic Islands and Andalusia, in addition to Ceuta and Melilla, have, together, the best indicators for moving on to the next phase of de-escalation — which It allows from meetings of up to 10 people to open the terraces of the bars at 50% – whether taking the rates per 100,000 inhabitants of the last seven days or the last 14. To prepare this classification, the communities have been ordered according to of four parameters (cases, deaths, hospitalizations and ICU admissions for the period), a point has been given to each position depending on its occupation (1 to the first, 2 to the second … and so on) and they have been added the scores. The lowest result would thus indicate the best average of the indicators.
The result clearly divides the 19 territories (the 17 communities and the two autonomous cities): in addition to the best six, there is then an intermediate squad (Valencia, Aragón Extremadura, Asturias and Galicia) and a tail group (Navarra, Basque Country , La Rioja, Madrid, Castilla y León, Castilla-La Mancha and Cataluña).
These numbers should, in theory, be part of the process to decide which communities or health zones are going to go to phase 1 of the de-escalation that will begin on May 11. But Fernando Simón, director of the Center for Control of Alerts and Health Emergencies, has not said what will be measured or if there will be red lines. Nor has it been reported who will make the decision. The general director of Public Health, Pilar Aparicio, affirms that there are a multitude of factors that can alter the result, and she rules out that it can be quantified. “An island is not the same as a territory of the interior, an urban area that a rural one. It is not the same as there are many cases in a controlled focus that there are fewer but scattered, “he says.
Of the few numerical criteria that have been given, one appears in the daily report given by Sanidad: the cases accumulated over two weeks per 100,000 inhabitants. And it has been said that they should not exceed two newspapers (28 in 14 days). According to the latest data, Aragon, Castilla-La Mancha, the Basque Country, Navarra, La Rioja, Catalonia. Madrid and Castilla y León exceed that figure.
Councilors like that of Castilla y León, Verónica Casado, have insisted on asking for numerical criteria to decide the de-escalation, but Health refuses. This community and Catalonia have been the only ones that have not asked the ministry to start phase 1 throughout the territory, claiming prudence in view of their figures. The other regions of the group with the worst data have acted like the others, and have asked to relax the measures throughout their territory.
The number of hospitalizations is perhaps the most accurate indicator of the extent of the covid-19. The five territories with the lowest rate per 100,000 inhabitants of this parameter, measured in the last week or the last two, are the autonomous cities, Murcia, the Canary Islands and Andalusia, five of the six that generally achieve the best position in the classification. The same happens in four of the six best positions if income in the ICU is measured. In the death count, the coincidence is total: the Canary Islands, the Balearic Islands, Murcia, Andalusia, Ceuta and Melilla are the ones with the lowest rate, and five of these territories are among the seven that have had the least diagnoses.
Higher death rate
At the opposite extreme, Castilla-La Mancha, La Rioja, Castilla y León, País Vasco, Navarra, Cataluña and Madrid are the ones with the worst accumulated cases rate per 100,000 inhabitants, and the same seven are the ones with the most deaths. Coherently, six of them are among the seven with the most hospitalizations, and five are the most hospitalized in the ICU.
Although there is an improvement in all cases, if you take the figures from two weeks ago and compare them with those from the last seven days, there are great differences between them. For example, the number of cases diagnosed in the last two weeks ranges from 2.21 in Murcia (to calculate all the numbers the population has been taken at the beginning of each autonomy year according to the INE), while that of Castilla y León is 95, a difference of 4,200%. If the data for the last seven days is taken, the difference between Murcia, which has the lowest number, and Castilla y León is 3,473%.
Cases in the last seven days
per 100,000 inhabitants
–
The
communities
and cities
with better
indicators
epidemiological
–
Murcia
Andalusia
Canary Islands
Asturias
Balearics
Melilla
Com. Valencian
Estremadura
Cantabria
Ceuta
Basque Country
Galicia
Aragon
Castilla la Mancha
The Rioja
Navarre
Catalonia
Madrid
Castilla y León
–
The
communities
with worse
indicators
epidemiological
–
Source: own elaboration with data from the
Ministry of Health, INE and WHO.
THE COUNTRY
–
–
Cases in the last seven days
per 100,000 inhabitants
–
The communities
and cities
with better
indicators
epidemiological
–
Murcia
Andalusia
Canary Islands
Asturias
Balearics
Melilla
Com. Valencian
Estremadura
Cantabria
Ceuta
Basque Country
Galicia
Aragon
Castilla la Mancha
The Rioja
Navarre
Catalonia
Madrid
Castilla y León
–
The communities
with worse
indicators
epidemiological
–
Source: own elaboration with data from the Ministry of
Health, INE and WHO.
THE COUNTRY
–
–
Cases in the last seven days per 100,000 inhabitants
–
Murcia
Andalusia
Canary Islands
Asturias
Balearics
Melilla
Com. Valencian
Estremadura
Cantabria
Ceuta
Basque Country
Galicia
Aragon
Castilla la Mancha
The Rioja
Navarre
Catalonia
Madrid
Castilla y León
–
Communities and cities
with better indicators
epidemiological
–
The communities
with worse
indicators
epidemiological
–
Source: own elaboration with data from the Ministry of Health, INE and WHO.
THE COUNTRY
–
–
–
—
In deaths for 14 days, the difference between the Canary Islands, which has the lowest rate, and Castilla-La Mancha, the worst, is 926%. In hospitalizations the difference exceeds 5,600%.
In the data of this Thursday the good trend continues, according to Simón. The cases rose 0.34% to 221,447; deaths totaled 213 more until 26,070 (0.8% more): hospitalizations increased 0.45% to 121,014 and ICU admissions were 58, but 40 were distributed by Madrid and Catalonia.
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