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Caribbean areas could be hit by a tropical storm

Two tropical low pressure areas are monitored by the NHC, one of them could affect areas of the Caribbean in the next few days with medium chances of becoming a tropical storm and her name would be Lisa

Francesco Martin León 3 min
Improved infrared image of cold cloud tops with deep convection in the Eastern Caribbean and monitored by the NHC starting October 28, 2022 at 04:30 UTC. meteo.com

The two areas monitored by the NHC are located offshore. One of them has an average chance of organizing better and reaching the tropical storm category.

Southwest Atlantic drinking trough

A low-pressure depression, shown in yellow in the image below, sits above the southwestern Atlantic Ocean and continues to produce a large area of ​​disorganized showers and thunderstorms. A low surface pressure system is expected to emerge along the northern part of the depression axis tonight or Friday, with some further development possible until Saturday.

By Saturday night, October 29, upper level winds are expected to be less conducive to development and the low is expected to begin interacting with an approaching frontal system creating an unfavorable environment for development, such as a tropical storm or depression. .

* Ability to train in 48 hours … low … 30 percent.
* 5 day training chance … low … 30 percent.

Areas monitored by the NHC 5 days by the NHC

Low tropical pressures in the Eastern Caribbean

A low-pressure area, in orange in the previous image, is expected to form this weekend on the eastern Caribbean Sea, possibly related to the southern portion of an existing low-pressure trough in the area.

Conditions are expected for gradual development and a tropical depression could form early next week as the
the system is moving west or northwest towards the center of the Caribbean Sea.

* Ability to train for 48 hours … low … close to 0 percent.
* Possibility of training for 5 days … average … 60 percent.

Surface pressure and precipitation forecast every 6 hours according to the ECMWF HRES model from 28 October to 1 November 2022. Tiempo.com

Lisa would be the next name to use for the tropical storm that could form.

This entry was posted in News on 28 Oct 2022 by Francisco Martín León

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