Increased use of local public transport can have a positive impact not only on the environment but also on employment.
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(Photo: dpa)
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This applies, for example, to the Halle / Leipzig, Hanover or Saarland regions, locations of the automotive and supplier industries. Even if electric cars are produced there in the future, there is a risk of job losses because their assembly is less labor-intensive than that of combustion engines.
The researchers expect the greatest relative job losses in the Regensburg area, in the Kassel, Halle / Leipzig and Chemnitz regions. In absolute numbers, however, the job losses are manageable; in Hanover, for example, there are a good 5,000 jobs.
Jobs in IT and corporate management arise
The biggest winner of the mobility transition from an employment perspective would be Berlin, where the bottom line is that with almost 20,000 most new jobs are to be created. In general, the metropolises will benefit more from the mobility transition than the rural areas, although there is more pent-up demand there – for example with regard to the expansion of local public transport.
But there are simply more people living in the big cities who can switch from their own car to local transport, for example. In addition, the bus or train network is already better developed there and car sharing is more widespread, which makes it easier to switch.
In addition to the capital, a successful mobility turnaround would have positive employment effects, especially in the regions around Düsseldorf, Hamburg, Munich, Cologne, Frankfurt am Main, Karlsruhe / Mannheim and Nuremberg.
The move away from the combustion engine and autonomous driving have resulted in job losses in all regions, for example because fewer repair shops or fewer truck drivers will be needed in the future.
The researchers see the greatest positive employment effects due to the expected changes in mobility behavior in passenger transport. This is by no means just about additional bus or suburban train drivers, but also about new jobs in the organization, in IT system support or in corporate management.
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