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In addition to expediting the step to complete the payment of the second installment of the Emergency Family Income, the Government is evaluating the scope and amount that the third installment of the benefit will have, which was confirmed in radio statements by the head of the Anses, Fernanda Raverta, It will cover the Metropolitan Area of Buenos Aires and the Chaco, it is to those areas of the country that returned to “phase one” of the quarantine. “
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However, sources of the pension agency did not rule out that the third quota also reaches, even partially to other districts. It will depend on a “crossing of variables” related to the virus circulation and the quarantine phase that the different provinces or localities are going through. The intention is to define everything this week.
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Raverta confirmed that the payment of the third stage “is not universal for everyone, but will go to areas where the quarantine returns to phase one or where the situation is more complicated.”
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Initially, it had been pointed out that the third installment of the benefit, which reached 8.3 million people in the first installment and 9 million in the second, could also include Río Negro, but that possibility now seems ruled out. Chaco, on the other hand, is a province much more compromised by the pandemic and it is also the province of the country in which the payment of the IFE benefits a higher proportion of the provincial population: 26.5%, according to a recent study on government social programs. In the country’s average, meanwhile, the IFE (which reaches one member per family) benefits 17.3% of the population. In turn, the Autonomous City of Buenos Aires (CABA, which is part of the AMBA) is the area with the lowest incidence of benefit with respect to the total population, as calculated by researchers Oscar Cetrángolo and Javier Curcio in a study on social programs. from the government in response to the coronavirus pandemic.
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In addition, by restricting the number of beneficiaries, the Government is also considering expanding the amount of the benefit, which would increase 50% or more. That is, it would be at $ 15,000 or a somewhat higher sum, considering that going back to phase one of the areas where the beneficiaries reside reside in turn implies greater economic difficulties and challenges to maintain income.
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The IFE, aimed at Category A or B monotributistas, social monotributistas, private household workers and informal unemployed between 18 and 65 years, whose family groups meet certain socio-economic criteria, is the main government social aid program in response to the coronavirus pandemic and the subsequent quarantines, which prevent a large part of the employed, especially in the informal sector, from procuring their resources. It reaches a single member of each family group and prioritizes women. Its “fiscal cost”, specifies the study by Cetrángolo and Curcio, was $ 78,543 million (0.248% of annual GDP) in the first month.
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The exact scope of the decision to limit it geographically and increase the amount of the benefit, as well as the fiscal cost, will be discussed in the Social Economic Cabinet, which includes the Minister of Economy, Martín Guzmán, the Minister of Productive Development, Matías Kulfas, the Minister of Social Development, Daniel Arroyo, and that of Labor, Claudio Moroni, headed by the Chief of Staff, Santiago Cafiero, and his deputy chief, Cecilia Todesca.
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“When the Cabinet decides, the Anses will inform it,” they responded from the pension body, which also administers the vast majority of the government’s social programs. “When we finish paying for the second stage, we are just going to see what the third stage of the IFE is like, which is under review,” Raverta had in his radio statements.
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The official also admitted that the government has on the agenda the eventual implementation of a “universal income”, but that it is not a simple discussion, because it would be much more than a plan. For the State, it would mean a permanent fiscal commitment at a time when fiscal resources are scarce and when nearly half of the monthly expenditures of the Treasury are covered with monetary issuance from the Central Bank.
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