A US think tank has released a report on war predictions that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan will cost both sides dearly.
China, blocked by the United States, would not succeed in invading Taiwan, but even the United States expected it to suffer losses that would damage its international position.
This is Washington correspondent Kwon Joon-gi.
When the United States sent an Aegis destroyer to the Taiwan Strait from the new year to carry out the so-called “freedom of navigation” operation, China responded with real combat training using fighters and bombers.
As military tensions around Taiwan are unlikely to abate again this year, the US think tank CSIS has released a report on a “war game” that involved a Chinese invasion of Taiwan.
If the Chinese Navy invades Taiwan in 2026, it predicts the pattern of the war.
The bottom line is that the US, China and Taiwan that all entered the war were badly damaged, but the Chinese navy was annihilated and the invasion proved unsuccessful.
[에릭 히긴보탐 / 메사추세츠공대 수석연구원 : 중국이 타이완 항구와 공항을 점령할 무렵 중국의 수륙양용 부대는 궤멸 된다는 것이 대부분 워게임에서 나타난 결과입니다.]
The damage to the United States was also insignificant.
3,200 US troops were expected to die in just three weeks after losing two aircraft carriers and 10 to 20 battleships.
It means that China has no choice but to pay the price of victory as much as defeated China.
[베카 와서 / 신미국안보센터 연구원 : 미국은 과거에 그랬던 것처럼 손쉽게 승리하지 못합니다. 중국 군사력이 강해지면서 방어 전략은 점점 더 어려워지고 있습니다.]
The report noted that an all-arms war, such as the one in Ukraine, would be impossible.
That’s because China could intercept the weapons before they reach the island nation of Taiwan.
This has made it constant for US forces to use military bases in Japan.
The report, however, did not mean that a Chinese invasion of Taiwan was inevitable and predicted that China could diplomatically isolate Taiwan or apply economic pressure instead of force.
This is YTN Junki Kwon from Washington.
YTN Junki Kwon ([email protected])
※ “Your report becomes news”
[카카오톡] Search YTN and add a channel
[메일] [email protected]
[저작권자(c) YTN 무단전재 및 재배포 금지]